Recent National Weather Service forecasts highlight a strong marine layer with morning low clouds and fog along the Los Angeles coast moderating daytime heating for August 24, followed by sunny conditions and southwest winds around 15 mph that limit inland warming at official stations such as LAX. This setup positions the 82–83 °F bin as the market leader at 40.5% implied probability, consistent with typical coastal highs in the upper 80s under similar August patterns, while the 84–85 °F range at 27.5% reflects uncertainty in exact marine-layer clearance timing. Historical climatology shows average August highs near 77 °F at LAX, but current heat-advisory conditions and model consensus support modest elevation above baseline without extreme inland spillover. Updated NWS briefings and next model runs will clarify any shifts before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 24?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 24?
82-83°F 42%
84-85°F 28%
80-81°F 19%
86-87°F 10%
BARU
BARU
Aug 24, 2026
75°F or below
1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
42%
84-85°F
28%
86-87°F
10%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
2%
94°F or higher
2%
82-83°F 42%
84-85°F 28%
80-81°F 19%
86-87°F 10%
BARU
BARU
Aug 24, 2026
75°F or below
$64 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$5 Vol.
2%
78-79°F
$111 Vol.
7%
80-81°F
$116 Vol.
19%
82-83°F
$2,194 Vol.
42%
84-85°F
$268 Vol.
28%
86-87°F
$77 Vol.
10%
88-89°F
$59 Vol.
3%
90-91°F
$54 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$5 Vol.
2%
94°F or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts highlight a strong marine layer with morning low clouds and fog along the Los Angeles coast moderating daytime heating for August 24, followed by sunny conditions and southwest winds around 15 mph that limit inland warming at official stations such as LAX. This setup positions the 82–83 °F bin as the market leader at 40.5% implied probability, consistent with typical coastal highs in the upper 80s under similar August patterns, while the 84–85 °F range at 27.5% reflects uncertainty in exact marine-layer clearance timing. Historical climatology shows average August highs near 77 °F at LAX, but current heat-advisory conditions and model consensus support modest elevation above baseline without extreme inland spillover. Updated NWS briefings and next model runs will clarify any shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$2,763Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts highlight a strong marine layer with morning low clouds and fog along the Los Angeles coast moderating daytime heating for August 24, followed by sunny conditions and southwest winds around 15 mph that limit inland warming at official stations such as LAX. This setup positions the 82–83 °F bin as the market leader at 40.5% implied probability, consistent with typical coastal highs in the upper 80s under similar August patterns, while the 84–85 °F range at 27.5% reflects uncertainty in exact marine-layer clearance timing. Historical climatology shows average August highs near 77 °F at LAX, but current heat-advisory conditions and model consensus support modest elevation above baseline without extreme inland spillover. Updated NWS briefings and next model runs will clarify any shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,763Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts highlight a strong marine layer with morning low clouds and fog along the Los Angeles coast moderating daytime heating for August 24, followed by sunny conditions and southwest winds around 15 mph that limit inland warming at official stations such as LAX. This setup positions the 82–83 °F bin as the market leader at 40.5% implied probability, consistent with typical coastal highs in the upper 80s under similar August patterns, while the 84–85 °F range at 27.5% reflects uncertainty in exact marine-layer clearance timing. Historical climatology shows average August highs near 77 °F at LAX, but current heat-advisory conditions and model consensus support modest elevation above baseline without extreme inland spillover. Updated NWS briefings and next model runs will clarify any shifts before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan