National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance indicate marine-layer clouds and a persistent onshore flow will limit the highest temperature at downtown Los Angeles or Los Angeles International Airport stations to the upper 70s to low 90s on August 23, well below seasonal peaks. This pattern follows the early-August heat wave that briefly pushed readings to 91 °F downtown and follows climatological norms for late-summer coastal suppression. With model consensus showing no strong offshore flow or upper-level ridging, the 99 % market-implied probability for 91 °F or below reflects verified forecast data rather than speculation. A rapid shift to clear skies and easterly winds would be required to challenge this outcome.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 23?
91°F or below 98.5%
100-101°F <1%
96-97°F <1%
108-109°F <1%
91°F or below
99%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F or higher
<1%
91°F or below 98.5%
100-101°F <1%
96-97°F <1%
108-109°F <1%
91°F or below
99%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance indicate marine-layer clouds and a persistent onshore flow will limit the highest temperature at downtown Los Angeles or Los Angeles International Airport stations to the upper 70s to low 90s on August 23, well below seasonal peaks. This pattern follows the early-August heat wave that briefly pushed readings to 91 °F downtown and follows climatological norms for late-summer coastal suppression. With model consensus showing no strong offshore flow or upper-level ridging, the 99 % market-implied probability for 91 °F or below reflects verified forecast data rather than speculation. A rapid shift to clear skies and easterly winds would be required to challenge this outcome.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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