Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies highlight persistent monsoon moisture and scattered showers over southern China as the main factor capping Guangzhou's August 22 maximum near 34–35°C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. High humidity, cloud cover, and afternoon convection are expected to limit surface heating despite seasonal norms of 33–34°C, while any breaks in precipitation or stronger urban heat island effects could push readings to 36°C. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability this close to the event, with resolution hinging on official daily maximum observations rather than averages. Traders appear to weigh the high probability of rain-suppressed peaks against historical late-August variability.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 22?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 22?
35°C 30%
34°C 26%
36°C 18%
33°C 12%
BARU
BARU
Aug 22, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
5%
33°C
16%
34°C
26%
35°C
30%
36°C
18%
37°C or higher
5%
35°C 30%
34°C 26%
36°C 18%
33°C 12%
BARU
BARU
Aug 22, 2026
27°C or below
$372 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$372 Vol.
1%
29°C
$216 Vol.
1%
30°C
$146 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$25 Vol.
2%
32°C
$15 Vol.
5%
33°C
$35 Vol.
16%
34°C
$14 Vol.
26%
35°C
$25 Vol.
30%
36°C
$116 Vol.
18%
37°C or higher
$1,442 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies highlight persistent monsoon moisture and scattered showers over southern China as the main factor capping Guangzhou's August 22 maximum near 34–35°C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. High humidity, cloud cover, and afternoon convection are expected to limit surface heating despite seasonal norms of 33–34°C, while any breaks in precipitation or stronger urban heat island effects could push readings to 36°C. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability this close to the event, with resolution hinging on official daily maximum observations rather than averages. Traders appear to weigh the high probability of rain-suppressed peaks against historical late-August variability.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$2,779Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies highlight persistent monsoon moisture and scattered showers over southern China as the main factor capping Guangzhou's August 22 maximum near 34–35°C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. High humidity, cloud cover, and afternoon convection are expected to limit surface heating despite seasonal norms of 33–34°C, while any breaks in precipitation or stronger urban heat island effects could push readings to 36°C. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability this close to the event, with resolution hinging on official daily maximum observations rather than averages. Traders appear to weigh the high probability of rain-suppressed peaks against historical late-August variability.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,779Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies highlight persistent monsoon moisture and scattered showers over southern China as the main factor capping Guangzhou's August 22 maximum near 34–35°C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. High humidity, cloud cover, and afternoon convection are expected to limit surface heating despite seasonal norms of 33–34°C, while any breaks in precipitation or stronger urban heat island effects could push readings to 36°C. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability this close to the event, with resolution hinging on official daily maximum observations rather than averages. Traders appear to weigh the high probability of rain-suppressed peaks against historical late-August variability.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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