Weather models from agencies like Météo-France and ECMWF currently indicate Paris highs near 24–25°C on August 20, with ensemble spreads creating near-even implied probabilities for those two outcomes. Key differentiating factors include the strength and position of a weak Atlantic ridge versus incoming troughs, which control daytime heating rates, boundary-layer mixing, and cloud cover. Minor shifts in 850 hPa temperatures or low-level moisture could tip the maximum by 1°C, while urban heat-island effects and sea-breeze influences add localized variability. Historical August climatology for Paris centers around 25°C, but recent model runs show modest cooling signals from northerly flow. Updated 48-hour forecasts and morning soundings will likely refine the range before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Paris on August 20?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 20?
24°C 38%
25°C 38%
26°C 16%
23°C 7%
BARU
BARU
Aug 20, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
3%
23°C
7%
24°C
38%
25°C
38%
26°C
16%
27°C
4%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 38%
25°C 38%
26°C 16%
23°C 7%
BARU
BARU
Aug 20, 2026
19°C or below
$181 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$256 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$261 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$255 Vol.
3%
23°C
$320 Vol.
7%
24°C
$397 Vol.
38%
25°C
$602 Vol.
38%
26°C
$394 Vol.
16%
27°C
$305 Vol.
4%
28°C
$324 Vol.
1%
29°C or higher
$224 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Weather models from agencies like Météo-France and ECMWF currently indicate Paris highs near 24–25°C on August 20, with ensemble spreads creating near-even implied probabilities for those two outcomes. Key differentiating factors include the strength and position of a weak Atlantic ridge versus incoming troughs, which control daytime heating rates, boundary-layer mixing, and cloud cover. Minor shifts in 850 hPa temperatures or low-level moisture could tip the maximum by 1°C, while urban heat-island effects and sea-breeze influences add localized variability. Historical August climatology for Paris centers around 25°C, but recent model runs show modest cooling signals from northerly flow. Updated 48-hour forecasts and morning soundings will likely refine the range before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 18, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$3,519Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 18, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Weather models from agencies like Météo-France and ECMWF currently indicate Paris highs near 24–25°C on August 20, with ensemble spreads creating near-even implied probabilities for those two outcomes. Key differentiating factors include the strength and position of a weak Atlantic ridge versus incoming troughs, which control daytime heating rates, boundary-layer mixing, and cloud cover. Minor shifts in 850 hPa temperatures or low-level moisture could tip the maximum by 1°C, while urban heat-island effects and sea-breeze influences add localized variability. Historical August climatology for Paris centers around 25°C, but recent model runs show modest cooling signals from northerly flow. Updated 48-hour forecasts and morning soundings will likely refine the range before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,519Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 18, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Weather models from agencies like Météo-France and ECMWF currently indicate Paris highs near 24–25°C on August 20, with ensemble spreads creating near-even implied probabilities for those two outcomes. Key differentiating factors include the strength and position of a weak Atlantic ridge versus incoming troughs, which control daytime heating rates, boundary-layer mixing, and cloud cover. Minor shifts in 850 hPa temperatures or low-level moisture could tip the maximum by 1°C, while urban heat-island effects and sea-breeze influences add localized variability. Historical August climatology for Paris centers around 25°C, but recent model runs show modest cooling signals from northerly flow. Updated 48-hour forecasts and morning soundings will likely refine the range before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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