Recent forecasts from AEMET and BBC Weather converge on a daytime maximum near 38°C for Madrid on August 18 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly winds that promote strong daytime heating with minimal cloud cover or convective cooling. This aligns with the ongoing above-normal temperature anomaly across central Spain, where mid-August readings have frequently reached 37–40°C. Model consensus highlights low precipitation risk and Madrid’s urban heat-island effect supporting peaks at the upper end of late-summer norms. Trader positioning on 38°C (43.5%) and 39°C (31.5%) reflects narrow forecast uncertainty two days out, with resolution hinging on the exact peak under these conditions.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Madrid on August 18?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 18?
38°C 41%
39°C 30%
37°C 19%
40°C 7%
BARU
BARU
Aug 18, 2026
34°C or below
<1%
35°C
1%
36°C
5%
37°C
15%
38°C
41%
39°C
30%
40°C
7%
41°C
2%
42°C
3%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
38°C 41%
39°C 30%
37°C 19%
40°C 7%
BARU
BARU
Aug 18, 2026
34°C or below
$168 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$168 Vol.
1%
36°C
$81 Vol.
5%
37°C
$250 Vol.
15%
38°C
$226 Vol.
41%
39°C
$224 Vol.
30%
40°C
$271 Vol.
7%
41°C
$170 Vol.
2%
42°C
$5 Vol.
3%
43°C
$168 Vol.
<1%
44°C or higher
$263 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from AEMET and BBC Weather converge on a daytime maximum near 38°C for Madrid on August 18 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly winds that promote strong daytime heating with minimal cloud cover or convective cooling. This aligns with the ongoing above-normal temperature anomaly across central Spain, where mid-August readings have frequently reached 37–40°C. Model consensus highlights low precipitation risk and Madrid’s urban heat-island effect supporting peaks at the upper end of late-summer norms. Trader positioning on 38°C (43.5%) and 39°C (31.5%) reflects narrow forecast uncertainty two days out, with resolution hinging on the exact peak under these conditions.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$1,995Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from AEMET and BBC Weather converge on a daytime maximum near 38°C for Madrid on August 18 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly winds that promote strong daytime heating with minimal cloud cover or convective cooling. This aligns with the ongoing above-normal temperature anomaly across central Spain, where mid-August readings have frequently reached 37–40°C. Model consensus highlights low precipitation risk and Madrid’s urban heat-island effect supporting peaks at the upper end of late-summer norms. Trader positioning on 38°C (43.5%) and 39°C (31.5%) reflects narrow forecast uncertainty two days out, with resolution hinging on the exact peak under these conditions.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,995Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from AEMET and BBC Weather converge on a daytime maximum near 38°C for Madrid on August 18 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly winds that promote strong daytime heating with minimal cloud cover or convective cooling. This aligns with the ongoing above-normal temperature anomaly across central Spain, where mid-August readings have frequently reached 37–40°C. Model consensus highlights low precipitation risk and Madrid’s urban heat-island effect supporting peaks at the upper end of late-summer norms. Trader positioning on 38°C (43.5%) and 39°C (31.5%) reflects narrow forecast uncertainty two days out, with resolution hinging on the exact peak under these conditions.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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