Recent forecasts from sources like the Hong Kong Observatory and international models indicate a southwesterly airstream bringing humid conditions and scattered showers to the region on August 16, tempering peak heating while maintaining elevated baseline temperatures typical of mid-August climatology (around 31–32°C). This setup creates tight differentiation between 32°C and 33°C outcomes, as convective cloud cover and rainfall timing—driven by diurnal heating and moisture convergence—can suppress or allow brief spikes toward the urban heat island maximum. Above-normal seasonal temperatures from ENSO-neutral patterns support the slight edge for 33°C, yet model spread on shower intensity introduces uncertainty that traders weigh against historical analogs of similar synoptic regimes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 16?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 16?
33°C 36%
32°C 32%
34°C 16%
31°C 14%
BARU
BARU
Aug 16, 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
14%
32°C
32%
33°C
36%
34°C
16%
35°C
5%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 36%
32°C 32%
34°C 16%
31°C 14%
BARU
BARU
Aug 16, 2026
27°C or below
$867 Vol.
1%
28°C
$109 Vol.
1%
29°C
$49 Vol.
1%
30°C
$78 Vol.
3%
31°C
$5 Vol.
14%
32°C
$135 Vol.
32%
33°C
$0 Vol.
36%
34°C
$13 Vol.
16%
35°C
$12 Vol.
5%
36°C
$52 Vol.
1%
37°C or higher
$27 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from sources like the Hong Kong Observatory and international models indicate a southwesterly airstream bringing humid conditions and scattered showers to the region on August 16, tempering peak heating while maintaining elevated baseline temperatures typical of mid-August climatology (around 31–32°C). This setup creates tight differentiation between 32°C and 33°C outcomes, as convective cloud cover and rainfall timing—driven by diurnal heating and moisture convergence—can suppress or allow brief spikes toward the urban heat island maximum. Above-normal seasonal temperatures from ENSO-neutral patterns support the slight edge for 33°C, yet model spread on shower intensity introduces uncertainty that traders weigh against historical analogs of similar synoptic regimes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,347Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from sources like the Hong Kong Observatory and international models indicate a southwesterly airstream bringing humid conditions and scattered showers to the region on August 16, tempering peak heating while maintaining elevated baseline temperatures typical of mid-August climatology (around 31–32°C). This setup creates tight differentiation between 32°C and 33°C outcomes, as convective cloud cover and rainfall timing—driven by diurnal heating and moisture convergence—can suppress or allow brief spikes toward the urban heat island maximum. Above-normal seasonal temperatures from ENSO-neutral patterns support the slight edge for 33°C, yet model spread on shower intensity introduces uncertainty that traders weigh against historical analogs of similar synoptic regimes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,347Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like the Hong Kong Observatory and international models indicate a southwesterly airstream bringing humid conditions and scattered showers to the region on August 16, tempering peak heating while maintaining elevated baseline temperatures typical of mid-August climatology (around 31–32°C). This setup creates tight differentiation between 32°C and 33°C outcomes, as convective cloud cover and rainfall timing—driven by diurnal heating and moisture convergence—can suppress or allow brief spikes toward the urban heat island maximum. Above-normal seasonal temperatures from ENSO-neutral patterns support the slight edge for 33°C, yet model spread on shower intensity introduces uncertainty that traders weigh against historical analogs of similar synoptic regimes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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