**Forecast models and recent observational data position 35–36°C as the most probable peak temperature range for Guangzhou on August 16, 2026.** Subtropical monsoon conditions, elevated regional sea-surface temperatures, and high atmospheric moisture favor daytime maxima near or slightly above the August climatological average of ~32–34°C. Latest guidance from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate.com indicates a high of approximately 35–36°C (96°F) under partly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered thunderstorms, which can both cap surface heating through cloud cover and allow brief spikes during breaks in convection. Trader consensus reflected in the 45% implied probability for 36°C and 23% for 35°C aligns with this narrow uncertainty band; probabilities drop sharply outside 34–37°C because model spreads remain modest only one day ahead of resolution. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance or afternoon radar trends could still shift the exact maximum before the daily high is recorded.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 16?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 16?
36°C 45%
35°C 23%
37°C 17%
34°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Aug 16, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
3%
34°C
9%
35°C
23%
36°C
45%
37°C
17%
38°C
4%
39°C or higher
1%
36°C 45%
35°C 23%
37°C 17%
34°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Aug 16, 2026
29°C or below
$367 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$293 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$406 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$522 Vol.
1%
33°C
$344 Vol.
3%
34°C
$263 Vol.
9%
35°C
$346 Vol.
23%
36°C
$1,864 Vol.
45%
37°C
$655 Vol.
17%
38°C
$689 Vol.
4%
39°C or higher
$324 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and recent observational data position 35–36°C as the most probable peak temperature range for Guangzhou on August 16, 2026.** Subtropical monsoon conditions, elevated regional sea-surface temperatures, and high atmospheric moisture favor daytime maxima near or slightly above the August climatological average of ~32–34°C. Latest guidance from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate.com indicates a high of approximately 35–36°C (96°F) under partly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered thunderstorms, which can both cap surface heating through cloud cover and allow brief spikes during breaks in convection. Trader consensus reflected in the 45% implied probability for 36°C and 23% for 35°C aligns with this narrow uncertainty band; probabilities drop sharply outside 34–37°C because model spreads remain modest only one day ahead of resolution. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance or afternoon radar trends could still shift the exact maximum before the daily high is recorded.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$6,074Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and recent observational data position 35–36°C as the most probable peak temperature range for Guangzhou on August 16, 2026.** Subtropical monsoon conditions, elevated regional sea-surface temperatures, and high atmospheric moisture favor daytime maxima near or slightly above the August climatological average of ~32–34°C. Latest guidance from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate.com indicates a high of approximately 35–36°C (96°F) under partly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered thunderstorms, which can both cap surface heating through cloud cover and allow brief spikes during breaks in convection. Trader consensus reflected in the 45% implied probability for 36°C and 23% for 35°C aligns with this narrow uncertainty band; probabilities drop sharply outside 34–37°C because model spreads remain modest only one day ahead of resolution. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance or afternoon radar trends could still shift the exact maximum before the daily high is recorded.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,074Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and recent observational data position 35–36°C as the most probable peak temperature range for Guangzhou on August 16, 2026.** Subtropical monsoon conditions, elevated regional sea-surface temperatures, and high atmospheric moisture favor daytime maxima near or slightly above the August climatological average of ~32–34°C. Latest guidance from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate.com indicates a high of approximately 35–36°C (96°F) under partly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered thunderstorms, which can both cap surface heating through cloud cover and allow brief spikes during breaks in convection. Trader consensus reflected in the 45% implied probability for 36°C and 23% for 35°C aligns with this narrow uncertainty band; probabilities drop sharply outside 34–37°C because model spreads remain modest only one day ahead of resolution. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance or afternoon radar trends could still shift the exact maximum before the daily high is recorded.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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