Current Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and ensemble model runs for August 15 cluster around a daily maximum of 31–32 °C under sunny intervals with scattered showers that limit full solar heating. Lingering warm, humid air from recent tropical cyclone activity keeps the market-implied odds close between these two outcomes, consistent with August climatology where afternoon highs typically reach 31–32 °C at urban stations before convective cooling sets in. Any shift in cloud cover timing or steering flow could nudge the peak across the 32 °C threshold, while official verification at the King’s Park or Observatory sites will determine resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 15?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 15?
32°C 39%
31°C 31%
33°C 18%
30°C 8%
BARU
$13,544 Vol.
BARU
$13,544 Vol.
Aug 15, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
8%
31°C
31%
32°C
39%
33°C
18%
34°C
6%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 39%
31°C 31%
33°C 18%
30°C 8%
BARU
$13,544 Vol.
BARU
$13,544 Vol.
Aug 15, 2026
27°C or below
$904 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,852 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,720 Vol.
3%
30°C
$1,483 Vol.
8%
31°C
$1,346 Vol.
31%
32°C
$1,166 Vol.
39%
33°C
$1,855 Vol.
18%
34°C
$687 Vol.
6%
35°C
$442 Vol.
1%
36°C
$419 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$669 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and ensemble model runs for August 15 cluster around a daily maximum of 31–32 °C under sunny intervals with scattered showers that limit full solar heating. Lingering warm, humid air from recent tropical cyclone activity keeps the market-implied odds close between these two outcomes, consistent with August climatology where afternoon highs typically reach 31–32 °C at urban stations before convective cooling sets in. Any shift in cloud cover timing or steering flow could nudge the peak across the 32 °C threshold, while official verification at the King’s Park or Observatory sites will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$13,544Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and ensemble model runs for August 15 cluster around a daily maximum of 31–32 °C under sunny intervals with scattered showers that limit full solar heating. Lingering warm, humid air from recent tropical cyclone activity keeps the market-implied odds close between these two outcomes, consistent with August climatology where afternoon highs typically reach 31–32 °C at urban stations before convective cooling sets in. Any shift in cloud cover timing or steering flow could nudge the peak across the 32 °C threshold, while official verification at the King’s Park or Observatory sites will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$13,544Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and ensemble model runs for August 15 cluster around a daily maximum of 31–32 °C under sunny intervals with scattered showers that limit full solar heating. Lingering warm, humid air from recent tropical cyclone activity keeps the market-implied odds close between these two outcomes, consistent with August climatology where afternoon highs typically reach 31–32 °C at urban stations before convective cooling sets in. Any shift in cloud cover timing or steering flow could nudge the peak across the 32 °C threshold, while official verification at the King’s Park or Observatory sites will determine resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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