Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to a 30–32°C daily maximum in Panama City on August 15 because current numerical weather guidance and climatological analogs point to typical rainy-season variability. Persistent high humidity, strong solar heating near the equator, and widespread afternoon convection driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone frequently cap temperatures through evaporative cooling and increased cloud cover, keeping peaks near the long-term August average of 30–32°C. Model consensus shows only modest day-to-day differences tied to exact timing and intensity of showers, with no strong signals for extreme clearing or suppression. Official station data from nearby monitoring sites will determine the final recorded high, leaving room for small forecast adjustments before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Panama City on August 15?
Highest temperature in Panama City on August 15?
31°C 34%
30°C 26%
32°C 21%
29°C 10%
BARU
BARU
Aug 15, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
10%
30°C
26%
31°C
34%
32°C
21%
33°C
6%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 34%
30°C 26%
32°C 21%
29°C 10%
BARU
BARU
Aug 15, 2026
25°C or below
$121 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$137 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$13 Vol.
1%
28°C
$136 Vol.
2%
29°C
$33 Vol.
10%
30°C
$37 Vol.
26%
31°C
$469 Vol.
34%
32°C
$64 Vol.
21%
33°C
$667 Vol.
6%
34°C
$41 Vol.
2%
35°C or higher
$18 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to a 30–32°C daily maximum in Panama City on August 15 because current numerical weather guidance and climatological analogs point to typical rainy-season variability. Persistent high humidity, strong solar heating near the equator, and widespread afternoon convection driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone frequently cap temperatures through evaporative cooling and increased cloud cover, keeping peaks near the long-term August average of 30–32°C. Model consensus shows only modest day-to-day differences tied to exact timing and intensity of showers, with no strong signals for extreme clearing or suppression. Official station data from nearby monitoring sites will determine the final recorded high, leaving room for small forecast adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$1,736Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to a 30–32°C daily maximum in Panama City on August 15 because current numerical weather guidance and climatological analogs point to typical rainy-season variability. Persistent high humidity, strong solar heating near the equator, and widespread afternoon convection driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone frequently cap temperatures through evaporative cooling and increased cloud cover, keeping peaks near the long-term August average of 30–32°C. Model consensus shows only modest day-to-day differences tied to exact timing and intensity of showers, with no strong signals for extreme clearing or suppression. Official station data from nearby monitoring sites will determine the final recorded high, leaving room for small forecast adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,736Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to a 30–32°C daily maximum in Panama City on August 15 because current numerical weather guidance and climatological analogs point to typical rainy-season variability. Persistent high humidity, strong solar heating near the equator, and widespread afternoon convection driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone frequently cap temperatures through evaporative cooling and increased cloud cover, keeping peaks near the long-term August average of 30–32°C. Model consensus shows only modest day-to-day differences tied to exact timing and intensity of showers, with no strong signals for extreme clearing or suppression. Official station data from nearby monitoring sites will determine the final recorded high, leaving room for small forecast adjustments before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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