Trader consensus favoring 16–18°C as the lowest temperature in London on August 16 aligns with Met Office forecasts of a 16°C minimum under mild overnight conditions, supported by warmer-than-average air masses and limited radiative cooling from partial cloud cover. Recent UK summer patterns, including elevated minimum temperatures 1.5°C above climatological norms through July, sustain this outlook amid broader seasonal warmth. Short-term model runs show consistency on these thresholds, though small shifts in wind or humidity could alter the exact low within the 16–18°C range before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in London on August 16?
17°C 41%
18°C 27%
16°C 25%
19°C 8%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
25%
17°C
41%
18°C
27%
19°C
8%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
17°C 41%
18°C 27%
16°C 25%
19°C 8%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
25%
17°C
41%
18°C
27%
19°C
8%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favoring 16–18°C as the lowest temperature in London on August 16 aligns with Met Office forecasts of a 16°C minimum under mild overnight conditions, supported by warmer-than-average air masses and limited radiative cooling from partial cloud cover. Recent UK summer patterns, including elevated minimum temperatures 1.5°C above climatological norms through July, sustain this outlook amid broader seasonal warmth. Short-term model runs show consistency on these thresholds, though small shifts in wind or humidity could alter the exact low within the 16–18°C range before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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