**Latest official forecasts from MetService and aligned model runs have locked in a daily maximum of 13°C for Wellington on August 15, driving the near-certain market-implied odds.** This reflects persistent southerly flow and a post-polar-air mass that has kept temperatures close to seasonal norms, with observed highs tracking 12–14°C amid light showers and moderate winds. Historical climatology for mid-August supports this range, as average maxima hover near 12–14°C under similar southerly regimes. The 99.9% consensus on 13°C represents trader aggregation of real-time data rather than a guarantee; a late northerly shift or localized warming could push readings to 14°C or higher, though current steering patterns and model consensus make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Wellington on August 15?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 15?
13°C 99.9%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$79,985 Vol.
$79,985 Vol.
Aug 15, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
13°C 99.9%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$79,985 Vol.
$79,985 Vol.
Aug 15, 2026
9°C or below
$1,154 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$285 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$1,208 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$12,531 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$18,393 Vol.
100%
14°C
$15,483 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$11,556 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$12,867 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$4,527 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,564 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$417 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest official forecasts from MetService and aligned model runs have locked in a daily maximum of 13°C for Wellington on August 15, driving the near-certain market-implied odds.** This reflects persistent southerly flow and a post-polar-air mass that has kept temperatures close to seasonal norms, with observed highs tracking 12–14°C amid light showers and moderate winds. Historical climatology for mid-August supports this range, as average maxima hover near 12–14°C under similar southerly regimes. The 99.9% consensus on 13°C represents trader aggregation of real-time data rather than a guarantee; a late northerly shift or localized warming could push readings to 14°C or higher, though current steering patterns and model consensus make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$79,985Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest official forecasts from MetService and aligned model runs have locked in a daily maximum of 13°C for Wellington on August 15, driving the near-certain market-implied odds.** This reflects persistent southerly flow and a post-polar-air mass that has kept temperatures close to seasonal norms, with observed highs tracking 12–14°C amid light showers and moderate winds. Historical climatology for mid-August supports this range, as average maxima hover near 12–14°C under similar southerly regimes. The 99.9% consensus on 13°C represents trader aggregation of real-time data rather than a guarantee; a late northerly shift or localized warming could push readings to 14°C or higher, though current steering patterns and model consensus make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$79,985Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest official forecasts from MetService and aligned model runs have locked in a daily maximum of 13°C for Wellington on August 15, driving the near-certain market-implied odds.** This reflects persistent southerly flow and a post-polar-air mass that has kept temperatures close to seasonal norms, with observed highs tracking 12–14°C amid light showers and moderate winds. Historical climatology for mid-August supports this range, as average maxima hover near 12–14°C under similar southerly regimes. The 99.9% consensus on 13°C represents trader aggregation of real-time data rather than a guarantee; a late northerly shift or localized warming could push readings to 14°C or higher, though current steering patterns and model consensus make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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