Singapore's temperature outlook for August 15 centers on a moderate-to-strong El Niño event strengthening through the Southwest Monsoon season, which is suppressing rainfall and elevating daytime maxima above the long-term 31°C August average. Official guidance from the Meteorological Service Singapore and global models highlights fair, occasionally windy conditions with potential for localized thundery showers that could moderate peaks through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. This setup produces tight clustering between 32°C and 33°C in trader pricing, as small differences in afternoon insolation, boundary-layer humidity, and steering winds can shift the daily high by 1°C under Singapore's urban heat-island and coastal environment. Short-range model consensus and the next NEA update will clarify whether clearer skies push readings toward 33°C or scattered convection caps them nearer 32°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Singapore on August 15?
32°C 52%
33°C 39%
31°C 12%
34°C 11%
28°C or below
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
12%
32°C
46%
33°C
39%
34°C
11%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
3%
38°C or higher
1%
32°C 52%
33°C 39%
31°C 12%
34°C 11%
28°C or below
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
12%
32°C
46%
33°C
39%
34°C
11%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
3%
38°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Singapore's temperature outlook for August 15 centers on a moderate-to-strong El Niño event strengthening through the Southwest Monsoon season, which is suppressing rainfall and elevating daytime maxima above the long-term 31°C August average. Official guidance from the Meteorological Service Singapore and global models highlights fair, occasionally windy conditions with potential for localized thundery showers that could moderate peaks through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. This setup produces tight clustering between 32°C and 33°C in trader pricing, as small differences in afternoon insolation, boundary-layer humidity, and steering winds can shift the daily high by 1°C under Singapore's urban heat-island and coastal environment. Short-range model consensus and the next NEA update will clarify whether clearer skies push readings toward 33°C or scattered convection caps them nearer 32°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui


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