Latest National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance points to a daytime high of 76-77°F in downtown Los Angeles on August 12, driven by a persistent marine layer and onshore flow that limits afternoon warming along the coast. Ensemble runs show minimal spread around this range, with sea-surface temperatures near seasonal norms and no strong offshore winds or clear-sky heating expected to push readings higher. Traders have anchored probabilities on these consensus outputs, as historical August maxima in the basin average 78-82°F yet recent coastal observations have trended cooler. Updated model runs tonight and tomorrow morning remain the key catalysts that could shift the distribution if the inversion strengthens or weakens.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 12?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 12?
76-77°F 60%
74-75°F 17%
78-79°F 11%
72-73°F 8%
BARU
BARU
Aug 12, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
8%
74-75°F
17%
76-77°F
60%
78-79°F
11%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
1%
76-77°F 60%
74-75°F 17%
78-79°F 11%
72-73°F 8%
BARU
BARU
Aug 12, 2026
67°F or below
$197 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$68 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$45 Vol.
2%
72-73°F
$15 Vol.
8%
74-75°F
$699 Vol.
17%
76-77°F
$1,035 Vol.
60%
78-79°F
$25 Vol.
11%
80-81°F
$32 Vol.
4%
82-83°F
$42 Vol.
2%
84-85°F
$87 Vol.
<1%
86°F or higher
$102 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance points to a daytime high of 76-77°F in downtown Los Angeles on August 12, driven by a persistent marine layer and onshore flow that limits afternoon warming along the coast. Ensemble runs show minimal spread around this range, with sea-surface temperatures near seasonal norms and no strong offshore winds or clear-sky heating expected to push readings higher. Traders have anchored probabilities on these consensus outputs, as historical August maxima in the basin average 78-82°F yet recent coastal observations have trended cooler. Updated model runs tonight and tomorrow morning remain the key catalysts that could shift the distribution if the inversion strengthens or weakens.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$2,347Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance points to a daytime high of 76-77°F in downtown Los Angeles on August 12, driven by a persistent marine layer and onshore flow that limits afternoon warming along the coast. Ensemble runs show minimal spread around this range, with sea-surface temperatures near seasonal norms and no strong offshore winds or clear-sky heating expected to push readings higher. Traders have anchored probabilities on these consensus outputs, as historical August maxima in the basin average 78-82°F yet recent coastal observations have trended cooler. Updated model runs tonight and tomorrow morning remain the key catalysts that could shift the distribution if the inversion strengthens or weakens.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,347Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance points to a daytime high of 76-77°F in downtown Los Angeles on August 12, driven by a persistent marine layer and onshore flow that limits afternoon warming along the coast. Ensemble runs show minimal spread around this range, with sea-surface temperatures near seasonal norms and no strong offshore winds or clear-sky heating expected to push readings higher. Traders have anchored probabilities on these consensus outputs, as historical August maxima in the basin average 78-82°F yet recent coastal observations have trended cooler. Updated model runs tonight and tomorrow morning remain the key catalysts that could shift the distribution if the inversion strengthens or weakens.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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