Trader consensus for Jeddah's August 13 high temperature centers on model consensus from regional forecasts projecting 38–41°C amid broader Saudi heat, with the 29.5% implied probability on 41°C+ reflecting recent National Centre for Meteorology warnings of above-normal August conditions driven by persistent high pressure and Red Sea moisture. Key variables include steering winds that could enhance or suppress coastal advection, potential afternoon sea breezes moderating peaks, and any unexpected cloud build-up reducing insolation. The spread across 37–40°C outcomes highlights forecast uncertainty typical two days out, as ensemble runs diverge on exact thermal maxima; historical August baselines near 38°C provide context, while upcoming official updates from Saudi meteorological agencies will likely refine trader positioning ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Jeddah on August 13?
41°C or higher 33%
39°C 17%
38°C 15%
40°C 14%
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
12%
38°C
15%
39°C
17%
40°C
14%
41°C or higher
33%
41°C or higher 33%
39°C 17%
38°C 15%
40°C 14%
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
12%
38°C
15%
39°C
17%
40°C
14%
41°C or higher
33%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 11, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus for Jeddah's August 13 high temperature centers on model consensus from regional forecasts projecting 38–41°C amid broader Saudi heat, with the 29.5% implied probability on 41°C+ reflecting recent National Centre for Meteorology warnings of above-normal August conditions driven by persistent high pressure and Red Sea moisture. Key variables include steering winds that could enhance or suppress coastal advection, potential afternoon sea breezes moderating peaks, and any unexpected cloud build-up reducing insolation. The spread across 37–40°C outcomes highlights forecast uncertainty typical two days out, as ensemble runs diverge on exact thermal maxima; historical August baselines near 38°C provide context, while upcoming official updates from Saudi meteorological agencies will likely refine trader positioning ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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