Recent model consensus from major forecasting agencies indicates a maximum temperature in Moscow on August 13 most likely between 16–17°C, driven by an approaching cold front that will increase cloud cover and limit daytime solar heating while advecting cooler air masses from the northwest. This setup follows a brief warming period earlier in the week and aligns with typical late-summer synoptic patterns over central Russia, where precipitation chances further suppress highs below seasonal averages near 22°C. Trader sentiment remains balanced across the 15–17°C outcomes due to remaining uncertainty in exact frontal timing and cloud thickness, with resolution hinging on official observations; updated ECMWF and GFS runs in the next 24–48 hours could refine these probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Moscow on August 13?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 13?
17°C 22%
16°C 21%
15°C 16%
18°C 12%
BARU
BARU
Aug 13, 2026
12°C or below
2%
13°C
3%
14°C
11%
15°C
16%
16°C
27%
17°C
22%
18°C
12%
19°C
5%
20°C
2%
21°C
7%
22°C or higher
2%
17°C 22%
16°C 21%
15°C 16%
18°C 12%
BARU
BARU
Aug 13, 2026
12°C or below
$5 Vol.
2%
13°C
$11 Vol.
3%
14°C
$20 Vol.
11%
15°C
$25 Vol.
16%
16°C
$60 Vol.
27%
17°C
$59 Vol.
22%
18°C
$90 Vol.
12%
19°C
$7 Vol.
5%
20°C
$17 Vol.
2%
21°C
$12 Vol.
7%
22°C or higher
$12 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from major forecasting agencies indicates a maximum temperature in Moscow on August 13 most likely between 16–17°C, driven by an approaching cold front that will increase cloud cover and limit daytime solar heating while advecting cooler air masses from the northwest. This setup follows a brief warming period earlier in the week and aligns with typical late-summer synoptic patterns over central Russia, where precipitation chances further suppress highs below seasonal averages near 22°C. Trader sentiment remains balanced across the 15–17°C outcomes due to remaining uncertainty in exact frontal timing and cloud thickness, with resolution hinging on official observations; updated ECMWF and GFS runs in the next 24–48 hours could refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$318Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from major forecasting agencies indicates a maximum temperature in Moscow on August 13 most likely between 16–17°C, driven by an approaching cold front that will increase cloud cover and limit daytime solar heating while advecting cooler air masses from the northwest. This setup follows a brief warming period earlier in the week and aligns with typical late-summer synoptic patterns over central Russia, where precipitation chances further suppress highs below seasonal averages near 22°C. Trader sentiment remains balanced across the 15–17°C outcomes due to remaining uncertainty in exact frontal timing and cloud thickness, with resolution hinging on official observations; updated ECMWF and GFS runs in the next 24–48 hours could refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$318Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from major forecasting agencies indicates a maximum temperature in Moscow on August 13 most likely between 16–17°C, driven by an approaching cold front that will increase cloud cover and limit daytime solar heating while advecting cooler air masses from the northwest. This setup follows a brief warming period earlier in the week and aligns with typical late-summer synoptic patterns over central Russia, where precipitation chances further suppress highs below seasonal averages near 22°C. Trader sentiment remains balanced across the 15–17°C outcomes due to remaining uncertainty in exact frontal timing and cloud thickness, with resolution hinging on official observations; updated ECMWF and GFS runs in the next 24–48 hours could refine these probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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