Forecast models from agencies including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show Madrid under persistent high pressure with clear skies and minimal cloud cover on August 13, supporting daytime maxima near 39–40 °C at the city’s 667 m elevation. Recent extended outlooks place the high at approximately 39.8 °C (103.6 °F), consistent with August climatology on the Meseta where intense solar heating and dry continental air masses routinely produce peaks above 35 °C. Traders have concentrated probability on 39 °C and 40 °C outcomes because ensemble runs exhibit limited spread and no significant moisture or frontal systems are expected to moderate temperatures before resolution. Urban heat-island effects in central Madrid may add a degree or two relative to rural stations, while official verification will use standardized observations that align closely with these model projections.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Madrid on August 13?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 13?
39°C 46%
40°C 34%
38°C 8%
41°C 6%
BARU
BARU
Aug 13, 2026
35°C or below
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
3%
38°C
8%
39°C
46%
40°C
34%
41°C
6%
42°C
2%
43°C
1%
44°C
<1%
45°C or higher
1%
39°C 46%
40°C 34%
38°C 8%
41°C 6%
BARU
BARU
Aug 13, 2026
35°C or below
$25 Vol.
1%
36°C
$25 Vol.
1%
37°C
$24 Vol.
3%
38°C
$65 Vol.
8%
39°C
$110 Vol.
46%
40°C
$123 Vol.
34%
41°C
$56 Vol.
6%
42°C
$77 Vol.
2%
43°C
$49 Vol.
1%
44°C
$149 Vol.
<1%
45°C or higher
$22 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show Madrid under persistent high pressure with clear skies and minimal cloud cover on August 13, supporting daytime maxima near 39–40 °C at the city’s 667 m elevation. Recent extended outlooks place the high at approximately 39.8 °C (103.6 °F), consistent with August climatology on the Meseta where intense solar heating and dry continental air masses routinely produce peaks above 35 °C. Traders have concentrated probability on 39 °C and 40 °C outcomes because ensemble runs exhibit limited spread and no significant moisture or frontal systems are expected to moderate temperatures before resolution. Urban heat-island effects in central Madrid may add a degree or two relative to rural stations, while official verification will use standardized observations that align closely with these model projections.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$725Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show Madrid under persistent high pressure with clear skies and minimal cloud cover on August 13, supporting daytime maxima near 39–40 °C at the city’s 667 m elevation. Recent extended outlooks place the high at approximately 39.8 °C (103.6 °F), consistent with August climatology on the Meseta where intense solar heating and dry continental air masses routinely produce peaks above 35 °C. Traders have concentrated probability on 39 °C and 40 °C outcomes because ensemble runs exhibit limited spread and no significant moisture or frontal systems are expected to moderate temperatures before resolution. Urban heat-island effects in central Madrid may add a degree or two relative to rural stations, while official verification will use standardized observations that align closely with these model projections.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$725Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show Madrid under persistent high pressure with clear skies and minimal cloud cover on August 13, supporting daytime maxima near 39–40 °C at the city’s 667 m elevation. Recent extended outlooks place the high at approximately 39.8 °C (103.6 °F), consistent with August climatology on the Meseta where intense solar heating and dry continental air masses routinely produce peaks above 35 °C. Traders have concentrated probability on 39 °C and 40 °C outcomes because ensemble runs exhibit limited spread and no significant moisture or frontal systems are expected to moderate temperatures before resolution. Urban heat-island effects in central Madrid may add a degree or two relative to rural stations, while official verification will use standardized observations that align closely with these model projections.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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