High pressure building across southern England is driving expectations for peak temperatures near 35°C in London on August 13, with Met Office guidance and recent model runs favoring maxima of 34–36°C under mostly sunny skies and light winds. The spread in market-implied odds across 34–37°C reflects typical ensemble uncertainty in short-range forecasts, where small shifts in cloud cover, timing of any Atlantic moisture, or local urban heat effects could alter the daily high by 1–2°C. Recent warming trends this week, with highs already climbing into the low 30s, support the current trader consensus around these central outcomes while underscoring the potential for brief afternoon relief if scattered showers develop.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in London on August 13?
Highest temperature in London on August 13?
36°C 36%
35°C 24%
37°C 16%
34°C 15%
BARU
BARU
Aug 13, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
4%
33°C
7%
34°C
15%
35°C
24%
36°C
36%
37°C
16%
38°C
9%
39°C
2%
40°C or higher
1%
36°C 36%
35°C 24%
37°C 16%
34°C 15%
BARU
BARU
Aug 13, 2026
30°C or below
$12 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$12 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$5 Vol.
4%
33°C
$35 Vol.
7%
34°C
$37 Vol.
15%
35°C
$65 Vol.
24%
36°C
$152 Vol.
36%
37°C
$31 Vol.
16%
38°C
$35 Vol.
9%
39°C
$6 Vol.
2%
40°C or higher
$10 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.High pressure building across southern England is driving expectations for peak temperatures near 35°C in London on August 13, with Met Office guidance and recent model runs favoring maxima of 34–36°C under mostly sunny skies and light winds. The spread in market-implied odds across 34–37°C reflects typical ensemble uncertainty in short-range forecasts, where small shifts in cloud cover, timing of any Atlantic moisture, or local urban heat effects could alter the daily high by 1–2°C. Recent warming trends this week, with highs already climbing into the low 30s, support the current trader consensus around these central outcomes while underscoring the potential for brief afternoon relief if scattered showers develop.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$400Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.High pressure building across southern England is driving expectations for peak temperatures near 35°C in London on August 13, with Met Office guidance and recent model runs favoring maxima of 34–36°C under mostly sunny skies and light winds. The spread in market-implied odds across 34–37°C reflects typical ensemble uncertainty in short-range forecasts, where small shifts in cloud cover, timing of any Atlantic moisture, or local urban heat effects could alter the daily high by 1–2°C. Recent warming trends this week, with highs already climbing into the low 30s, support the current trader consensus around these central outcomes while underscoring the potential for brief afternoon relief if scattered showers develop.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$400Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...High pressure building across southern England is driving expectations for peak temperatures near 35°C in London on August 13, with Met Office guidance and recent model runs favoring maxima of 34–36°C under mostly sunny skies and light winds. The spread in market-implied odds across 34–37°C reflects typical ensemble uncertainty in short-range forecasts, where small shifts in cloud cover, timing of any Atlantic moisture, or local urban heat effects could alter the daily high by 1–2°C. Recent warming trends this week, with highs already climbing into the low 30s, support the current trader consensus around these central outcomes while underscoring the potential for brief afternoon relief if scattered showers develop.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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