Recent official forecasts for Ankara converge on a maximum temperature of 31–32°C for August 13 under persistent high pressure and clear skies typical of the region's continental summer regime. Model consensus from sources including timeanddate, BBC Weather, and AccuWeather indicates sunny conditions with highs near 89°F (31.7°C), supported by dry northerly flow and minimal cloud cover that favors strong daytime heating. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 30–32°C reflects genuine uncertainty in precise peak timing and local microclimate effects, with small model spread in boundary-layer mixing and surface energy balance. Historical August averages near 29–31°C provide context, while the absence of incoming frontal systems or significant moisture advection keeps extremes above 33°C unlikely. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours will refine these values ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Ankara on August 13?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 13?
31°C 48%
30°C 26%
32°C 23%
29°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Aug 13, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
11%
30°C
26%
31°C
48%
32°C
23%
33°C
5%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 48%
30°C 26%
32°C 23%
29°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Aug 13, 2026
26°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
1%
28°C
$7 Vol.
4%
29°C
$0 Vol.
11%
30°C
$51 Vol.
26%
31°C
$437 Vol.
48%
32°C
$8 Vol.
23%
33°C
$1 Vol.
5%
34°C
$28 Vol.
2%
35°C
$10 Vol.
1%
36°C or higher
$10 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts for Ankara converge on a maximum temperature of 31–32°C for August 13 under persistent high pressure and clear skies typical of the region's continental summer regime. Model consensus from sources including timeanddate, BBC Weather, and AccuWeather indicates sunny conditions with highs near 89°F (31.7°C), supported by dry northerly flow and minimal cloud cover that favors strong daytime heating. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 30–32°C reflects genuine uncertainty in precise peak timing and local microclimate effects, with small model spread in boundary-layer mixing and surface energy balance. Historical August averages near 29–31°C provide context, while the absence of incoming frontal systems or significant moisture advection keeps extremes above 33°C unlikely. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours will refine these values ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$552Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts for Ankara converge on a maximum temperature of 31–32°C for August 13 under persistent high pressure and clear skies typical of the region's continental summer regime. Model consensus from sources including timeanddate, BBC Weather, and AccuWeather indicates sunny conditions with highs near 89°F (31.7°C), supported by dry northerly flow and minimal cloud cover that favors strong daytime heating. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 30–32°C reflects genuine uncertainty in precise peak timing and local microclimate effects, with small model spread in boundary-layer mixing and surface energy balance. Historical August averages near 29–31°C provide context, while the absence of incoming frontal systems or significant moisture advection keeps extremes above 33°C unlikely. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours will refine these values ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$552Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts for Ankara converge on a maximum temperature of 31–32°C for August 13 under persistent high pressure and clear skies typical of the region's continental summer regime. Model consensus from sources including timeanddate, BBC Weather, and AccuWeather indicates sunny conditions with highs near 89°F (31.7°C), supported by dry northerly flow and minimal cloud cover that favors strong daytime heating. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 30–32°C reflects genuine uncertainty in precise peak timing and local microclimate effects, with small model spread in boundary-layer mixing and surface energy balance. Historical August averages near 29–31°C provide context, while the absence of incoming frontal systems or significant moisture advection keeps extremes above 33°C unlikely. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours will refine these values ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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