**Forecast models for August 13, 2026, show Istanbul under stable high pressure with mostly sunny conditions and light northerly winds, keeping daytime maxima near seasonal norms of 28–30°C.** Recent observations from early August indicate highs of 29–31°C (84–88°F), consistent with AccuWeather and timeanddate.com guidance projecting around 30–31°C for the 13th, tempered by Black Sea breezes and urban heat-island effects. Low precipitation risk and moderate humidity support gradual warming through midday solar heating, though model runs diverge slightly on exact peak timing and wind strength. These near-term uncertainties—typical within 48–72 hours of the event—explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 27–29°C, as traders weigh official agency guidance against ensemble spreads from sources like ECMWF and GFS. No significant frontal systems or heat domes are expected to shift the range dramatically before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 13?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 13?
28°C 32%
27°C 32%
26°C 12%
29°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Aug 13, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
6%
26°C
12%
27°C
32%
28°C
32%
29°C
11%
30°C
4%
31°C
7%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 32%
27°C 32%
26°C 12%
29°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Aug 13, 2026
23°C or below
$12 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$12 Vol.
1%
25°C
$5 Vol.
6%
26°C
$116 Vol.
12%
27°C
$24 Vol.
32%
28°C
$83 Vol.
32%
29°C
$0 Vol.
11%
30°C
$0 Vol.
4%
31°C
$15 Vol.
7%
32°C
$12 Vol.
2%
33°C or higher
$12 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for August 13, 2026, show Istanbul under stable high pressure with mostly sunny conditions and light northerly winds, keeping daytime maxima near seasonal norms of 28–30°C.**
Recent observations from early August indicate highs of 29–31°C (84–88°F), consistent with AccuWeather and timeanddate.com guidance projecting around 30–31°C for the 13th, tempered by Black Sea breezes and urban heat-island effects. Low precipitation risk and moderate humidity support gradual warming through midday solar heating, though model runs diverge slightly on exact peak timing and wind strength. These near-term uncertainties—typical within 48–72 hours of the event—explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 27–29°C, as traders weigh official agency guidance against ensemble spreads from sources like ECMWF and GFS. No significant frontal systems or heat domes are expected to shift the range dramatically before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$291Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for August 13, 2026, show Istanbul under stable high pressure with mostly sunny conditions and light northerly winds, keeping daytime maxima near seasonal norms of 28–30°C.**
Recent observations from early August indicate highs of 29–31°C (84–88°F), consistent with AccuWeather and timeanddate.com guidance projecting around 30–31°C for the 13th, tempered by Black Sea breezes and urban heat-island effects. Low precipitation risk and moderate humidity support gradual warming through midday solar heating, though model runs diverge slightly on exact peak timing and wind strength. These near-term uncertainties—typical within 48–72 hours of the event—explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 27–29°C, as traders weigh official agency guidance against ensemble spreads from sources like ECMWF and GFS. No significant frontal systems or heat domes are expected to shift the range dramatically before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$291Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models for August 13, 2026, show Istanbul under stable high pressure with mostly sunny conditions and light northerly winds, keeping daytime maxima near seasonal norms of 28–30°C.** Recent observations from early August indicate highs of 29–31°C (84–88°F), consistent with AccuWeather and timeanddate.com guidance projecting around 30–31°C for the 13th, tempered by Black Sea breezes and urban heat-island effects. Low precipitation risk and moderate humidity support gradual warming through midday solar heating, though model runs diverge slightly on exact peak timing and wind strength. These near-term uncertainties—typical within 48–72 hours of the event—explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 27–29°C, as traders weigh official agency guidance against ensemble spreads from sources like ECMWF and GFS. No significant frontal systems or heat domes are expected to shift the range dramatically before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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