Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate typical mid-August subtropical conditions, with overnight minima expected near 27–28°C amid high humidity and possible showers or cloudy periods on the 13th that could limit radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological baselines of 26–28°C for the period, positioning 28°C as the market favorite due to model consensus on stable steering patterns and no imminent typhoon influence. Above-normal seasonal temperatures through October further support the 27–29°C cluster, while recent heatwave conditions have kept trader focus on the upper end of that range absent a significant front or increased cloud cover. Updated guidance closer to the date will refine these implied probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 13?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 13?
28°C 41%
29°C 28%
27°C 13%
24°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Aug 13, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
8%
25°C
5%
26°C
4%
27°C
17%
28°C
41%
29°C
28%
30°C
3%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 41%
29°C 28%
27°C 13%
24°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Aug 13, 2026
22°C or below
$27 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$27 Vol.
1%
24°C
$27 Vol.
8%
25°C
$350 Vol.
5%
26°C
$0 Vol.
4%
27°C
$43 Vol.
17%
28°C
$170 Vol.
41%
29°C
$346 Vol.
28%
30°C
$884 Vol.
3%
31°C
$161 Vol.
2%
32°C or higher
$48 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate typical mid-August subtropical conditions, with overnight minima expected near 27–28°C amid high humidity and possible showers or cloudy periods on the 13th that could limit radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological baselines of 26–28°C for the period, positioning 28°C as the market favorite due to model consensus on stable steering patterns and no imminent typhoon influence. Above-normal seasonal temperatures through October further support the 27–29°C cluster, while recent heatwave conditions have kept trader focus on the upper end of that range absent a significant front or increased cloud cover. Updated guidance closer to the date will refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$2,083Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate typical mid-August subtropical conditions, with overnight minima expected near 27–28°C amid high humidity and possible showers or cloudy periods on the 13th that could limit radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological baselines of 26–28°C for the period, positioning 28°C as the market favorite due to model consensus on stable steering patterns and no imminent typhoon influence. Above-normal seasonal temperatures through October further support the 27–29°C cluster, while recent heatwave conditions have kept trader focus on the upper end of that range absent a significant front or increased cloud cover. Updated guidance closer to the date will refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,083Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate typical mid-August subtropical conditions, with overnight minima expected near 27–28°C amid high humidity and possible showers or cloudy periods on the 13th that could limit radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological baselines of 26–28°C for the period, positioning 28°C as the market favorite due to model consensus on stable steering patterns and no imminent typhoon influence. Above-normal seasonal temperatures through October further support the 27–29°C cluster, while recent heatwave conditions have kept trader focus on the upper end of that range absent a significant front or increased cloud cover. Updated guidance closer to the date will refine these implied probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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