Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble models indicate a likely daily high of 28–32°C for Busan on August 11 amid clear to partly cloudy conditions and light easterly winds, positioning 30°C as the market leader at 40.5% implied probability. Coastal moderation from the East Sea and residual moisture from an approaching tropical depression have tempered expectations relative to earlier August peaks near 34–39°C. Historical climatology for mid-August shows typical highs of 28–30°C, with trader consensus reflecting model agreement on limited intensification potential and no strong heat advection. Updated short-range guidance and any overnight model shifts ahead of the 48-hour window remain the key variables that could adjust these odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Busan on August 11?
Highest temperature in Busan on August 11?
30°C 41%
31°C 24%
32°C 17%
29°C 16%
BARU
BARU
Aug 11, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
8%
29°C
16%
30°C
41%
31°C
24%
32°C
12%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
3%
30°C 41%
31°C 24%
32°C 17%
29°C 16%
BARU
BARU
Aug 11, 2026
24°C or below
$361 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$32 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$19 Vol.
1%
27°C
$13 Vol.
2%
28°C
$39 Vol.
8%
29°C
$118 Vol.
16%
30°C
$182 Vol.
41%
31°C
$19 Vol.
24%
32°C
$69 Vol.
12%
33°C
$7 Vol.
3%
34°C or higher
$22 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble models indicate a likely daily high of 28–32°C for Busan on August 11 amid clear to partly cloudy conditions and light easterly winds, positioning 30°C as the market leader at 40.5% implied probability. Coastal moderation from the East Sea and residual moisture from an approaching tropical depression have tempered expectations relative to earlier August peaks near 34–39°C. Historical climatology for mid-August shows typical highs of 28–30°C, with trader consensus reflecting model agreement on limited intensification potential and no strong heat advection. Updated short-range guidance and any overnight model shifts ahead of the 48-hour window remain the key variables that could adjust these odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 9, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$881Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 9, 2026, 12:07 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble models indicate a likely daily high of 28–32°C for Busan on August 11 amid clear to partly cloudy conditions and light easterly winds, positioning 30°C as the market leader at 40.5% implied probability. Coastal moderation from the East Sea and residual moisture from an approaching tropical depression have tempered expectations relative to earlier August peaks near 34–39°C. Historical climatology for mid-August shows typical highs of 28–30°C, with trader consensus reflecting model agreement on limited intensification potential and no strong heat advection. Updated short-range guidance and any overnight model shifts ahead of the 48-hour window remain the key variables that could adjust these odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$881Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 9, 2026, 12:07 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble models indicate a likely daily high of 28–32°C for Busan on August 11 amid clear to partly cloudy conditions and light easterly winds, positioning 30°C as the market leader at 40.5% implied probability. Coastal moderation from the East Sea and residual moisture from an approaching tropical depression have tempered expectations relative to earlier August peaks near 34–39°C. Historical climatology for mid-August shows typical highs of 28–30°C, with trader consensus reflecting model agreement on limited intensification potential and no strong heat advection. Updated short-range guidance and any overnight model shifts ahead of the 48-hour window remain the key variables that could adjust these odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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