Ongoing extreme heat across South Korea, driven by a persistent high-pressure system and elevated humidity, underpins trader focus on 33–35°C for the August 9 Incheon maximum. Korea Meteorological Administration warnings and recent model runs highlight variable steering winds and possible afternoon convection that could cap or briefly exceed peak readings, creating the tight spread among 34°C (31%), 35°C (26.5%), and 33°C (18.5%). Historical August baselines near 30–31°C, combined with the current heatwave’s trajectory and limited cooling overnight, explain why higher outcomes command smaller implied probabilities while underscoring forecast sensitivity to the next 48-hour model updates.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 9?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 9?
34°C 31%
35°C 30%
33°C 25%
36°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Aug 9, 2026
29°C or below
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
6%
33°C
19%
34°C
31%
35°C
27%
36°C
9%
37°C
9%
38°C
3%
39°C or higher
1%
34°C 31%
35°C 30%
33°C 25%
36°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Aug 9, 2026
29°C or below
$130 Vol.
1%
30°C
$27 Vol.
1%
31°C
$5 Vol.
4%
32°C
$0 Vol.
6%
33°C
$48 Vol.
19%
34°C
$77 Vol.
31%
35°C
$63 Vol.
27%
36°C
$45 Vol.
9%
37°C
$62 Vol.
9%
38°C
$4 Vol.
3%
39°C or higher
$22 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing extreme heat across South Korea, driven by a persistent high-pressure system and elevated humidity, underpins trader focus on 33–35°C for the August 9 Incheon maximum. Korea Meteorological Administration warnings and recent model runs highlight variable steering winds and possible afternoon convection that could cap or briefly exceed peak readings, creating the tight spread among 34°C (31%), 35°C (26.5%), and 33°C (18.5%). Historical August baselines near 30–31°C, combined with the current heatwave’s trajectory and limited cooling overnight, explain why higher outcomes command smaller implied probabilities while underscoring forecast sensitivity to the next 48-hour model updates.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$482Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing extreme heat across South Korea, driven by a persistent high-pressure system and elevated humidity, underpins trader focus on 33–35°C for the August 9 Incheon maximum. Korea Meteorological Administration warnings and recent model runs highlight variable steering winds and possible afternoon convection that could cap or briefly exceed peak readings, creating the tight spread among 34°C (31%), 35°C (26.5%), and 33°C (18.5%). Historical August baselines near 30–31°C, combined with the current heatwave’s trajectory and limited cooling overnight, explain why higher outcomes command smaller implied probabilities while underscoring forecast sensitivity to the next 48-hour model updates.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$482Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing extreme heat across South Korea, driven by a persistent high-pressure system and elevated humidity, underpins trader focus on 33–35°C for the August 9 Incheon maximum. Korea Meteorological Administration warnings and recent model runs highlight variable steering winds and possible afternoon convection that could cap or briefly exceed peak readings, creating the tight spread among 34°C (31%), 35°C (26.5%), and 33°C (18.5%). Historical August baselines near 30–31°C, combined with the current heatwave’s trajectory and limited cooling overnight, explain why higher outcomes command smaller implied probabilities while underscoring forecast sensitivity to the next 48-hour model updates.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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