Recent cold southerly airflow and a frosty start to August have positioned 12–14°C as the dominant range for Wellington’s August 7 maximum, with 13°C holding the highest implied probability. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA indicate near-average temperatures are most likely under emerging El Niño conditions, which typically enhance cooler maritime influences through the Roaring Forties and Cook Strait. Short-range guidance shows daytime highs recovering from recent 8–10°C readings toward climatological norms of 12–13°C, though model spread and any late intensification of the southerly could shift the peak by a degree. Traders are weighting these verified observational trends and forecast consensus over longer-term averages when pricing the narrow outcome bands.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Wellington on August 7?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 7?
13°C 56%
12°C 25%
14°C 17%
15°C 3%
BARU
BARU
Aug 7, 2026
7°C or below
1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
3%
12°C
25%
13°C
56%
14°C
17%
15°C
3%
16°C
2%
17°C or higher
1%
13°C 56%
12°C 25%
14°C 17%
15°C 3%
BARU
BARU
Aug 7, 2026
7°C or below
$397 Vol.
1%
8°C
$150 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$106 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$103 Vol.
1%
11°C
$178 Vol.
3%
12°C
$205 Vol.
25%
13°C
$408 Vol.
56%
14°C
$234 Vol.
17%
15°C
$93 Vol.
3%
16°C
$10 Vol.
2%
17°C or higher
$100 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cold southerly airflow and a frosty start to August have positioned 12–14°C as the dominant range for Wellington’s August 7 maximum, with 13°C holding the highest implied probability. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA indicate near-average temperatures are most likely under emerging El Niño conditions, which typically enhance cooler maritime influences through the Roaring Forties and Cook Strait. Short-range guidance shows daytime highs recovering from recent 8–10°C readings toward climatological norms of 12–13°C, though model spread and any late intensification of the southerly could shift the peak by a degree. Traders are weighting these verified observational trends and forecast consensus over longer-term averages when pricing the narrow outcome bands.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$1,985Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 7, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cold southerly airflow and a frosty start to August have positioned 12–14°C as the dominant range for Wellington’s August 7 maximum, with 13°C holding the highest implied probability. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA indicate near-average temperatures are most likely under emerging El Niño conditions, which typically enhance cooler maritime influences through the Roaring Forties and Cook Strait. Short-range guidance shows daytime highs recovering from recent 8–10°C readings toward climatological norms of 12–13°C, though model spread and any late intensification of the southerly could shift the peak by a degree. Traders are weighting these verified observational trends and forecast consensus over longer-term averages when pricing the narrow outcome bands.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,985Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 7, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent cold southerly airflow and a frosty start to August have positioned 12–14°C as the dominant range for Wellington’s August 7 maximum, with 13°C holding the highest implied probability. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA indicate near-average temperatures are most likely under emerging El Niño conditions, which typically enhance cooler maritime influences through the Roaring Forties and Cook Strait. Short-range guidance shows daytime highs recovering from recent 8–10°C readings toward climatological norms of 12–13°C, though model spread and any late intensification of the southerly could shift the peak by a degree. Traders are weighting these verified observational trends and forecast consensus over longer-term averages when pricing the narrow outcome bands.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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