Ongoing heatwave conditions across South Korea, driven by the North Pacific High and warm, humid air masses, are elevating trader expectations for Busan’s August 5 high temperature. Official Korea Meteorological Administration data and short-range forecasts indicate daytime maxima near 30–32°C amid tropical nights and high humidity, though recent record national highs signal potential for brief spikes into the mid-30s. Sea breezes typical of Busan’s coastal location provide some moderation relative to inland areas, while model consensus shows limited intensification before the date. Market-implied odds cluster on 33–35°C outcomes because traders weigh the current anomaly against historical August baselines of 29–31°C and anticipate updated KMA guidance or observational revisions closer to resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Busan on August 5?
34°C 43%
35°C 23%
33°C 23%
32°C 9%
30°C or below
1%
31°C
7%
32°C
9%
33°C
23%
34°C
43%
35°C
23%
36°C
5%
37°C
3%
38°C
2%
39°C
1%
40°C or higher
1%
34°C 43%
35°C 23%
33°C 23%
32°C 9%
30°C or below
1%
31°C
7%
32°C
9%
33°C
23%
34°C
43%
35°C
23%
36°C
5%
37°C
3%
38°C
2%
39°C
1%
40°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing heatwave conditions across South Korea, driven by the North Pacific High and warm, humid air masses, are elevating trader expectations for Busan’s August 5 high temperature. Official Korea Meteorological Administration data and short-range forecasts indicate daytime maxima near 30–32°C amid tropical nights and high humidity, though recent record national highs signal potential for brief spikes into the mid-30s. Sea breezes typical of Busan’s coastal location provide some moderation relative to inland areas, while model consensus shows limited intensification before the date. Market-implied odds cluster on 33–35°C outcomes because traders weigh the current anomaly against historical August baselines of 29–31°C and anticipate updated KMA guidance or observational revisions closer to resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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