Short-term forecasts from MetService and international models like ECMWF and GFS position 15–16 °C as the most likely daily high for Wellington on August 3, reflecting typical mid-winter conditions with mild northerly flow and limited cloud cover. Recent model runs show consistent guidance around these values, though small shifts in high-pressure placement or timing could push readings toward 17 °C or hold them at 15 °C. Historical August maxima average near 13–14 °C, so current consensus implies a modest positive anomaly driven by the prevailing synoptic pattern. Traders are monitoring the next model update cycle and any late adjustments to surface pressure or wind direction that could alter the peak temperature threshold before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Wellington on August 3?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 3?
16°C 55%
15°C 32%
17°C 13%
14°C 5%
BARU
BARU
Aug 3, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
5%
15°C
32%
16°C
55%
17°C
13%
18°C
2%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 55%
15°C 32%
17°C 13%
14°C 5%
BARU
BARU
Aug 3, 2026
10°C or below
$453 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$336 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$427 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$365 Vol.
1%
14°C
$544 Vol.
5%
15°C
$628 Vol.
32%
16°C
$1,412 Vol.
55%
17°C
$671 Vol.
13%
18°C
$22 Vol.
2%
19°C
$330 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecasts from MetService and international models like ECMWF and GFS position 15–16 °C as the most likely daily high for Wellington on August 3, reflecting typical mid-winter conditions with mild northerly flow and limited cloud cover. Recent model runs show consistent guidance around these values, though small shifts in high-pressure placement or timing could push readings toward 17 °C or hold them at 15 °C. Historical August maxima average near 13–14 °C, so current consensus implies a modest positive anomaly driven by the prevailing synoptic pattern. Traders are monitoring the next model update cycle and any late adjustments to surface pressure or wind direction that could alter the peak temperature threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$5,193Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecasts from MetService and international models like ECMWF and GFS position 15–16 °C as the most likely daily high for Wellington on August 3, reflecting typical mid-winter conditions with mild northerly flow and limited cloud cover. Recent model runs show consistent guidance around these values, though small shifts in high-pressure placement or timing could push readings toward 17 °C or hold them at 15 °C. Historical August maxima average near 13–14 °C, so current consensus implies a modest positive anomaly driven by the prevailing synoptic pattern. Traders are monitoring the next model update cycle and any late adjustments to surface pressure or wind direction that could alter the peak temperature threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,193Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-term forecasts from MetService and international models like ECMWF and GFS position 15–16 °C as the most likely daily high for Wellington on August 3, reflecting typical mid-winter conditions with mild northerly flow and limited cloud cover. Recent model runs show consistent guidance around these values, though small shifts in high-pressure placement or timing could push readings toward 17 °C or hold them at 15 °C. Historical August maxima average near 13–14 °C, so current consensus implies a modest positive anomaly driven by the prevailing synoptic pattern. Traders are monitoring the next model update cycle and any late adjustments to surface pressure or wind direction that could alter the peak temperature threshold before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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