Current forecast guidance for Istanbul points to a typical early-August pattern under regional high pressure, with daytime heating moderated by sea breezes from the Bosphorus and adjacent seas, supporting market-implied odds clustered around 27–29 °C. Short-range models show close agreement on maximum temperatures near 28 °C, but small differences in predicted cloud cover, wind speed, and boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C. Historical August averages near 29 °C provide context, yet evolving moisture and any weak frontal approaches introduce the uncertainty reflected in the tight spread between leading outcomes. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 3?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 3?
28°C 36%
27°C 28%
29°C 27%
30°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Aug 3, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
5%
27°C
28%
28°C
36%
29°C
27%
30°C
8%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
2%
28°C 36%
27°C 28%
29°C 27%
30°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Aug 3, 2026
23°C or below
$34 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$21 Vol.
1%
25°C
$18 Vol.
3%
26°C
$11 Vol.
5%
27°C
$35 Vol.
28%
28°C
$182 Vol.
36%
29°C
$332 Vol.
27%
30°C
$14 Vol.
8%
31°C
$13 Vol.
2%
32°C
$21 Vol.
2%
33°C or higher
$10 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance for Istanbul points to a typical early-August pattern under regional high pressure, with daytime heating moderated by sea breezes from the Bosphorus and adjacent seas, supporting market-implied odds clustered around 27–29 °C. Short-range models show close agreement on maximum temperatures near 28 °C, but small differences in predicted cloud cover, wind speed, and boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C. Historical August averages near 29 °C provide context, yet evolving moisture and any weak frontal approaches introduce the uncertainty reflected in the tight spread between leading outcomes. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$535Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance for Istanbul points to a typical early-August pattern under regional high pressure, with daytime heating moderated by sea breezes from the Bosphorus and adjacent seas, supporting market-implied odds clustered around 27–29 °C. Short-range models show close agreement on maximum temperatures near 28 °C, but small differences in predicted cloud cover, wind speed, and boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C. Historical August averages near 29 °C provide context, yet evolving moisture and any weak frontal approaches introduce the uncertainty reflected in the tight spread between leading outcomes. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$535Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast guidance for Istanbul points to a typical early-August pattern under regional high pressure, with daytime heating moderated by sea breezes from the Bosphorus and adjacent seas, supporting market-implied odds clustered around 27–29 °C. Short-range models show close agreement on maximum temperatures near 28 °C, but small differences in predicted cloud cover, wind speed, and boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C. Historical August averages near 29 °C provide context, yet evolving moisture and any weak frontal approaches introduce the uncertainty reflected in the tight spread between leading outcomes. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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