Ongoing heatwave conditions driven by a persistent subtropical high-pressure system and heat dome pattern over the Korean Peninsula continue to shape forecasts for Seoul and Incheon on August 1. The Korea Meteorological Administration projects daytime maxima in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, with elevated humidity supporting tropical night conditions and limiting overnight cooling. Key variables differentiating 31–34°C outcomes include afternoon convective cloud development, variable wind patterns, and the urban heat island effect, which can add 1–2°C in central Seoul relative to Incheon observations. Model consensus remains moderate due to timing uncertainties in any incoming trough or sea breeze influence, keeping implied probabilities clustered around 30–32°C while allowing for upside risk above 35°C if subsidence strengthens.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 1?
32°C 37%
31°C 27%
33°C 21%
30°C 10%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
10%
31°C
27%
32°C
37%
33°C
21%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
1%
32°C 37%
31°C 27%
33°C 21%
30°C 10%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
10%
31°C
27%
32°C
37%
33°C
21%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing heatwave conditions driven by a persistent subtropical high-pressure system and heat dome pattern over the Korean Peninsula continue to shape forecasts for Seoul and Incheon on August 1. The Korea Meteorological Administration projects daytime maxima in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, with elevated humidity supporting tropical night conditions and limiting overnight cooling. Key variables differentiating 31–34°C outcomes include afternoon convective cloud development, variable wind patterns, and the urban heat island effect, which can add 1–2°C in central Seoul relative to Incheon observations. Model consensus remains moderate due to timing uncertainties in any incoming trough or sea breeze influence, keeping implied probabilities clustered around 30–32°C while allowing for upside risk above 35°C if subsidence strengthens.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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