Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a minimum temperature of 25°C on August 1, 2026, anchoring the near-certain market consensus at that level. Typical summer conditions featured high humidity and cloud cover that prevented significant nocturnal cooling below seasonal norms, consistent with long-term climatological baselines around 26–28°C overnight lows. Model guidance and surface analyses showed stable subtropical airflow with no cold fronts or enhanced radiational cooling to drive lower readings. While official station data carry high reliability, rare scenarios such as localized instrument calibration issues or microclimate variations at non-standard sites could theoretically alter reported values, though these remain statistically improbable given multiple verification networks.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 1?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 1?
25°C 100.0%
23°C <1%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
$36,692 Vol.
$36,692 Vol.
Aug 1, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 100.0%
23°C <1%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
$36,692 Vol.
$36,692 Vol.
Aug 1, 2026
21°C or below
$1,775 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$3,677 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$6,797 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$5,245 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$11,289 Vol.
100%
26°C
$5,278 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,146 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$553 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$326 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$385 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$221 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a minimum temperature of 25°C on August 1, 2026, anchoring the near-certain market consensus at that level. Typical summer conditions featured high humidity and cloud cover that prevented significant nocturnal cooling below seasonal norms, consistent with long-term climatological baselines around 26–28°C overnight lows. Model guidance and surface analyses showed stable subtropical airflow with no cold fronts or enhanced radiational cooling to drive lower readings. While official station data carry high reliability, rare scenarios such as localized instrument calibration issues or microclimate variations at non-standard sites could theoretically alter reported values, though these remain statistically improbable given multiple verification networks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$36,692Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a minimum temperature of 25°C on August 1, 2026, anchoring the near-certain market consensus at that level. Typical summer conditions featured high humidity and cloud cover that prevented significant nocturnal cooling below seasonal norms, consistent with long-term climatological baselines around 26–28°C overnight lows. Model guidance and surface analyses showed stable subtropical airflow with no cold fronts or enhanced radiational cooling to drive lower readings. While official station data carry high reliability, rare scenarios such as localized instrument calibration issues or microclimate variations at non-standard sites could theoretically alter reported values, though these remain statistically improbable given multiple verification networks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$36,692Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a minimum temperature of 25°C on August 1, 2026, anchoring the near-certain market consensus at that level. Typical summer conditions featured high humidity and cloud cover that prevented significant nocturnal cooling below seasonal norms, consistent with long-term climatological baselines around 26–28°C overnight lows. Model guidance and surface analyses showed stable subtropical airflow with no cold fronts or enhanced radiational cooling to drive lower readings. While official station data carry high reliability, rare scenarios such as localized instrument calibration issues or microclimate variations at non-standard sites could theoretically alter reported values, though these remain statistically improbable given multiple verification networks.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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