Latest Met Office guidance points to a 31°C maximum in London on August 3 under building high pressure that advects warm, humid air from the south, supporting the near-even market split between 30°C and 31°C. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread from diurnal heating rates and possible scattered afternoon cloud or showers, which could trim the peak by 1–2°C or allow brief exceedance depending on boundary-layer mixing. Historical August climatology (average high near 22°C) underscores the anomalous warmth, yet short-range model consensus remains the dominant driver of trader positioning ahead of final observational data from official stations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in London on August 3?
30°C 36%
31°C 32%
29°C 16%
32°C 14%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
16%
30°C
36%
31°C
32%
32°C
14%
33°C
4%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
1%
30°C 36%
31°C 32%
29°C 16%
32°C 14%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
16%
30°C
36%
31°C
32%
32°C
14%
33°C
4%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Met Office guidance points to a 31°C maximum in London on August 3 under building high pressure that advects warm, humid air from the south, supporting the near-even market split between 30°C and 31°C. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread from diurnal heating rates and possible scattered afternoon cloud or showers, which could trim the peak by 1–2°C or allow brief exceedance depending on boundary-layer mixing. Historical August climatology (average high near 22°C) underscores the anomalous warmth, yet short-range model consensus remains the dominant driver of trader positioning ahead of final observational data from official stations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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