Ongoing heatwave conditions across South Korea, driven by the North Pacific High advecting warm, humid air masses, are the main catalyst behind trader consensus favoring 35–37°C peaks for Busan on August 3. Korea Meteorological Administration warnings and recent observations near 35°C, combined with minimal cloud cover and light winds expected through early August, support elevated daytime maxima. Subtle forecast differences—such as minor variations in boundary-layer moisture, sea-breeze timing along the coast, or localized urban heat effects—explain the tight spread among leading outcomes. Historical August averages near 30–32°C highlight how current subtropical ridging has shifted probabilities higher, with traders weighting model consensus against potential small-scale cooling influences.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Busan on August 3?
36°C 31%
35°C 30%
37°C 22%
34°C 12%
32°C or below
2%
33°C
4%
34°C
12%
35°C
30%
36°C
31%
37°C
22%
38°C
8%
39°C
4%
40°C
4%
41°C
2%
42°C or higher
1%
36°C 31%
35°C 30%
37°C 22%
34°C 12%
32°C or below
2%
33°C
4%
34°C
12%
35°C
30%
36°C
31%
37°C
22%
38°C
8%
39°C
4%
40°C
4%
41°C
2%
42°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing heatwave conditions across South Korea, driven by the North Pacific High advecting warm, humid air masses, are the main catalyst behind trader consensus favoring 35–37°C peaks for Busan on August 3. Korea Meteorological Administration warnings and recent observations near 35°C, combined with minimal cloud cover and light winds expected through early August, support elevated daytime maxima. Subtle forecast differences—such as minor variations in boundary-layer moisture, sea-breeze timing along the coast, or localized urban heat effects—explain the tight spread among leading outcomes. Historical August averages near 30–32°C highlight how current subtropical ridging has shifted probabilities higher, with traders weighting model consensus against potential small-scale cooling influences.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui



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