Current ensemble forecasts from European and global models indicate a likely daily high in Helsinki around 19–21°C on August 3, with partly cloudy conditions and light southwesterly flow limiting strong warming. This aligns closely with climatological August averages of 19–20°C and explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 20–22°C. Key differentiating factors include minor variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and the precise timing of any diurnal peak, which numerical weather prediction runs continue to refine ahead of the short-range update window. Traders are weighting recent model consensus while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty ranges of ±1–2°C for this timeframe.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Helsinki on August 3?
21°C 36%
22°C 29%
23°C 12%
20°C 10%
17°C or below
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
6%
20°C
10%
21°C
36%
22°C
29%
23°C
12%
24°C
5%
25°C
2%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
21°C 36%
22°C 29%
23°C 12%
20°C 10%
17°C or below
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
6%
20°C
10%
21°C
36%
22°C
29%
23°C
12%
24°C
5%
25°C
2%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from European and global models indicate a likely daily high in Helsinki around 19–21°C on August 3, with partly cloudy conditions and light southwesterly flow limiting strong warming. This aligns closely with climatological August averages of 19–20°C and explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 20–22°C. Key differentiating factors include minor variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and the precise timing of any diurnal peak, which numerical weather prediction runs continue to refine ahead of the short-range update window. Traders are weighting recent model consensus while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty ranges of ±1–2°C for this timeframe.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui



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