Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC and extended models indicate peak temperatures in Munich on August 3 likely reaching 34–35°C under sunny skies and light winds, driven by a stable high-pressure system promoting clear conditions and strong daytime insolation. Ensemble guidance shows minor spread from local advection and boundary-layer mixing, keeping 34°C and 35°C closely matched in market-implied odds while lower probabilities attach to cooler outcomes if cloud cover increases. Historical August maxima average near 23–25°C, so this event reflects an above-normal heat episode; traders monitor updated runs from DWD and ECMWF ahead of resolution, as small shifts in timing or wind could alter the daily high by 1°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Munich on August 3?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 3?
35°C 35%
34°C 32%
33°C 12%
32°C 6%
BARU
BARU
Aug 3, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
6%
33°C
12%
34°C
32%
35°C
35%
36°C
5%
37°C or higher
4%
35°C 35%
34°C 32%
33°C 12%
32°C 6%
BARU
BARU
Aug 3, 2026
27°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$10 Vol.
2%
30°C
$5 Vol.
2%
31°C
$0 Vol.
2%
32°C
$0 Vol.
6%
33°C
$0 Vol.
12%
34°C
$11 Vol.
32%
35°C
$7 Vol.
35%
36°C
$20 Vol.
5%
37°C or higher
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC and extended models indicate peak temperatures in Munich on August 3 likely reaching 34–35°C under sunny skies and light winds, driven by a stable high-pressure system promoting clear conditions and strong daytime insolation. Ensemble guidance shows minor spread from local advection and boundary-layer mixing, keeping 34°C and 35°C closely matched in market-implied odds while lower probabilities attach to cooler outcomes if cloud cover increases. Historical August maxima average near 23–25°C, so this event reflects an above-normal heat episode; traders monitor updated runs from DWD and ECMWF ahead of resolution, as small shifts in timing or wind could alter the daily high by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$53Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC and extended models indicate peak temperatures in Munich on August 3 likely reaching 34–35°C under sunny skies and light winds, driven by a stable high-pressure system promoting clear conditions and strong daytime insolation. Ensemble guidance shows minor spread from local advection and boundary-layer mixing, keeping 34°C and 35°C closely matched in market-implied odds while lower probabilities attach to cooler outcomes if cloud cover increases. Historical August maxima average near 23–25°C, so this event reflects an above-normal heat episode; traders monitor updated runs from DWD and ECMWF ahead of resolution, as small shifts in timing or wind could alter the daily high by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$53Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC and extended models indicate peak temperatures in Munich on August 3 likely reaching 34–35°C under sunny skies and light winds, driven by a stable high-pressure system promoting clear conditions and strong daytime insolation. Ensemble guidance shows minor spread from local advection and boundary-layer mixing, keeping 34°C and 35°C closely matched in market-implied odds while lower probabilities attach to cooler outcomes if cloud cover increases. Historical August maxima average near 23–25°C, so this event reflects an above-normal heat episode; traders monitor updated runs from DWD and ECMWF ahead of resolution, as small shifts in timing or wind could alter the daily high by 1°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan