Recent weather models from Météo-France and European ensembles point to a continuation of above-normal summer warmth across northern France, with Paris forecast to reach daily highs near 35°C on August 3 amid an ongoing heat episode driven by high pressure and southerly flow. This positions 34–36°C as the leading market-implied outcomes, reflecting typical August variability around an average high of 26–28°C and accounting for urban heat island amplification plus forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C. Recent observational trends and model runs have reinforced probabilities in this band while downweighting extremes above 37°C, with resolution depending on official maximum readings at Paris-Montsouris or equivalent stations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Paris on August 3?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 3?
35°C 38%
36°C 27%
34°C 20%
37°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Aug 3, 2026
32°C or below
4%
33°C
6%
34°C
20%
35°C
38%
36°C
27%
37°C
11%
38°C
5%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
35°C 38%
36°C 27%
34°C 20%
37°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Aug 3, 2026
32°C or below
$3 Vol.
4%
33°C
$3 Vol.
6%
34°C
$28 Vol.
20%
35°C
$81 Vol.
38%
36°C
$3 Vol.
27%
37°C
$36 Vol.
11%
38°C
$3 Vol.
5%
39°C
$40 Vol.
1%
40°C
$20 Vol.
1%
41°C
$13 Vol.
<1%
42°C or higher
$13 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather models from Météo-France and European ensembles point to a continuation of above-normal summer warmth across northern France, with Paris forecast to reach daily highs near 35°C on August 3 amid an ongoing heat episode driven by high pressure and southerly flow. This positions 34–36°C as the leading market-implied outcomes, reflecting typical August variability around an average high of 26–28°C and accounting for urban heat island amplification plus forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C. Recent observational trends and model runs have reinforced probabilities in this band while downweighting extremes above 37°C, with resolution depending on official maximum readings at Paris-Montsouris or equivalent stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$241Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather models from Météo-France and European ensembles point to a continuation of above-normal summer warmth across northern France, with Paris forecast to reach daily highs near 35°C on August 3 amid an ongoing heat episode driven by high pressure and southerly flow. This positions 34–36°C as the leading market-implied outcomes, reflecting typical August variability around an average high of 26–28°C and accounting for urban heat island amplification plus forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C. Recent observational trends and model runs have reinforced probabilities in this band while downweighting extremes above 37°C, with resolution depending on official maximum readings at Paris-Montsouris or equivalent stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$241Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather models from Météo-France and European ensembles point to a continuation of above-normal summer warmth across northern France, with Paris forecast to reach daily highs near 35°C on August 3 amid an ongoing heat episode driven by high pressure and southerly flow. This positions 34–36°C as the leading market-implied outcomes, reflecting typical August variability around an average high of 26–28°C and accounting for urban heat island amplification plus forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C. Recent observational trends and model runs have reinforced probabilities in this band while downweighting extremes above 37°C, with resolution depending on official maximum readings at Paris-Montsouris or equivalent stations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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