Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from ECMWF and GFS place Milan's August 2 maximum near 34–36°C under persistent high pressure and subsiding air, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Local factors such as urban heat island effects, Po Valley moisture advection, and minor timing differences in any weak frontal boundary create the narrow spread, with 34°C edging ahead on slightly cooler bias in some runs. Historical early-August averages near 29–30°C underscore the current anomalously warm pattern, while model uncertainty remains modest given the short forecast horizon. Traders will watch the final 00Z and 12Z cycles plus official ARPA Lombardia guidance for any last adjustments before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Milan on August 2?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 2?
35°C 36%
34°C 35%
33°C 13%
36°C 12%
BARU
BARU
Aug 2, 2026
31°C or below
3%
32°C
5%
33°C
13%
34°C
35%
35°C
36%
36°C
12%
37°C
4%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
35°C 36%
34°C 35%
33°C 13%
36°C 12%
BARU
BARU
Aug 2, 2026
31°C or below
$10 Vol.
3%
32°C
$155 Vol.
5%
33°C
$130 Vol.
13%
34°C
$17 Vol.
35%
35°C
$29 Vol.
36%
36°C
$283 Vol.
12%
37°C
$186 Vol.
4%
38°C
$20 Vol.
1%
39°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from ECMWF and GFS place Milan's August 2 maximum near 34–36°C under persistent high pressure and subsiding air, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Local factors such as urban heat island effects, Po Valley moisture advection, and minor timing differences in any weak frontal boundary create the narrow spread, with 34°C edging ahead on slightly cooler bias in some runs. Historical early-August averages near 29–30°C underscore the current anomalously warm pattern, while model uncertainty remains modest given the short forecast horizon. Traders will watch the final 00Z and 12Z cycles plus official ARPA Lombardia guidance for any last adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$855Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 2, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from ECMWF and GFS place Milan's August 2 maximum near 34–36°C under persistent high pressure and subsiding air, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Local factors such as urban heat island effects, Po Valley moisture advection, and minor timing differences in any weak frontal boundary create the narrow spread, with 34°C edging ahead on slightly cooler bias in some runs. Historical early-August averages near 29–30°C underscore the current anomalously warm pattern, while model uncertainty remains modest given the short forecast horizon. Traders will watch the final 00Z and 12Z cycles plus official ARPA Lombardia guidance for any last adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$855Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 2, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from ECMWF and GFS place Milan's August 2 maximum near 34–36°C under persistent high pressure and subsiding air, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Local factors such as urban heat island effects, Po Valley moisture advection, and minor timing differences in any weak frontal boundary create the narrow spread, with 34°C edging ahead on slightly cooler bias in some runs. Historical early-August averages near 29–30°C underscore the current anomalously warm pattern, while model uncertainty remains modest given the short forecast horizon. Traders will watch the final 00Z and 12Z cycles plus official ARPA Lombardia guidance for any last adjustments before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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