Beijing's late-July temperatures typically peak near 33–35°C amid peak monsoon moisture and urban heat effects, with official maxima recorded at the Beijing station. Recent model runs show July 31 highs clustering between 33–36°C, differentiated by forecast uncertainty in afternoon convection and cloud cover that can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C or allow clearer skies to push toward 36°C. Short-range guidance from agencies highlights modest thunderstorm chances and variable humidity that spread trader probabilities across the 33–35°C brackets, reflecting both climatological norms and the sensitivity of maximum temperature to small shifts in boundary-layer conditions ahead of the July 31 observation window.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Beijing on July 31?
Highest temperature in Beijing on July 31?
34°C 31%
33°C 28%
35°C 21%
32°C 16%
BARU
BARU
Jul 31, 2026
30°C or below
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
16%
33°C
28%
34°C
31%
35°C
21%
36°C
6%
37°C
5%
38°C
1%
39°C
1%
40°C or higher
1%
34°C 31%
33°C 28%
35°C 21%
32°C 16%
BARU
BARU
Jul 31, 2026
30°C or below
$28 Vol.
1%
31°C
$24 Vol.
4%
32°C
$124 Vol.
16%
33°C
$64 Vol.
28%
34°C
$68 Vol.
31%
35°C
$69 Vol.
21%
36°C
$114 Vol.
6%
37°C
$221 Vol.
5%
38°C
$88 Vol.
1%
39°C
$21 Vol.
1%
40°C or higher
$15 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Beijing's late-July temperatures typically peak near 33–35°C amid peak monsoon moisture and urban heat effects, with official maxima recorded at the Beijing station. Recent model runs show July 31 highs clustering between 33–36°C, differentiated by forecast uncertainty in afternoon convection and cloud cover that can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C or allow clearer skies to push toward 36°C. Short-range guidance from agencies highlights modest thunderstorm chances and variable humidity that spread trader probabilities across the 33–35°C brackets, reflecting both climatological norms and the sensitivity of maximum temperature to small shifts in boundary-layer conditions ahead of the July 31 observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 29, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$810Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 29, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Beijing's late-July temperatures typically peak near 33–35°C amid peak monsoon moisture and urban heat effects, with official maxima recorded at the Beijing station. Recent model runs show July 31 highs clustering between 33–36°C, differentiated by forecast uncertainty in afternoon convection and cloud cover that can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C or allow clearer skies to push toward 36°C. Short-range guidance from agencies highlights modest thunderstorm chances and variable humidity that spread trader probabilities across the 33–35°C brackets, reflecting both climatological norms and the sensitivity of maximum temperature to small shifts in boundary-layer conditions ahead of the July 31 observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$810Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 29, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Beijing's late-July temperatures typically peak near 33–35°C amid peak monsoon moisture and urban heat effects, with official maxima recorded at the Beijing station. Recent model runs show July 31 highs clustering between 33–36°C, differentiated by forecast uncertainty in afternoon convection and cloud cover that can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C or allow clearer skies to push toward 36°C. Short-range guidance from agencies highlights modest thunderstorm chances and variable humidity that spread trader probabilities across the 33–35°C brackets, reflecting both climatological norms and the sensitivity of maximum temperature to small shifts in boundary-layer conditions ahead of the July 31 observation window.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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