Recent short-range forecasts from sources like BBC Weather and timeanddate indicate sunny conditions with a maximum of around 29°C expected for Istanbul on July 31, consistent with typical late-July patterns where daily highs average 27–29°C amid stable high pressure. Market-implied odds favoring 26°C (44%) and 27°C (22.5%) likely reflect trader focus on potential measurement at official stations, minor model variability in peak timing, or slight cooling influences such as northeasterly breezes, rather than broader regional projections. With resolution imminent, updated numerical weather prediction runs from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service could refine these probabilities by confirming exact peak values against historical July baselines of 28–30°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Istanbul on July 31?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on July 31?
26°C 47%
27°C 28%
25°C 18%
28°C 14%
BARU
BARU
Jul 31, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
10%
25°C
18%
26°C
47%
27°C
28%
28°C
14%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
2%
26°C 47%
27°C 28%
25°C 18%
28°C 14%
BARU
BARU
Jul 31, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$10 Vol.
1%
24°C
$5 Vol.
10%
25°C
$0 Vol.
18%
26°C
$16 Vol.
47%
27°C
$0 Vol.
28%
28°C
$0 Vol.
14%
29°C
$50 Vol.
2%
30°C
$0 Vol.
2%
31°C
$15 Vol.
2%
32°C or higher
$10 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from sources like BBC Weather and timeanddate indicate sunny conditions with a maximum of around 29°C expected for Istanbul on July 31, consistent with typical late-July patterns where daily highs average 27–29°C amid stable high pressure. Market-implied odds favoring 26°C (44%) and 27°C (22.5%) likely reflect trader focus on potential measurement at official stations, minor model variability in peak timing, or slight cooling influences such as northeasterly breezes, rather than broader regional projections. With resolution imminent, updated numerical weather prediction runs from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service could refine these probabilities by confirming exact peak values against historical July baselines of 28–30°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 29, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Volume
$106Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 29, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from sources like BBC Weather and timeanddate indicate sunny conditions with a maximum of around 29°C expected for Istanbul on July 31, consistent with typical late-July patterns where daily highs average 27–29°C amid stable high pressure. Market-implied odds favoring 26°C (44%) and 27°C (22.5%) likely reflect trader focus on potential measurement at official stations, minor model variability in peak timing, or slight cooling influences such as northeasterly breezes, rather than broader regional projections. With resolution imminent, updated numerical weather prediction runs from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service could refine these probabilities by confirming exact peak values against historical July baselines of 28–30°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$106Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 29, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from sources like BBC Weather and timeanddate indicate sunny conditions with a maximum of around 29°C expected for Istanbul on July 31, consistent with typical late-July patterns where daily highs average 27–29°C amid stable high pressure. Market-implied odds favoring 26°C (44%) and 27°C (22.5%) likely reflect trader focus on potential measurement at official stations, minor model variability in peak timing, or slight cooling influences such as northeasterly breezes, rather than broader regional projections. With resolution imminent, updated numerical weather prediction runs from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service could refine these probabilities by confirming exact peak values against historical July baselines of 28–30°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan