Recent forecasts from major models indicate Moscow highs of 27–29°C on August 5, aligning with the market's concentration of probability on those outcomes. A transient ridge of high pressure has promoted clearer skies and reduced cloud cover, supporting daytime warming above seasonal averages of roughly 23–25°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most runs clustering near 27°C as the most probable maximum, though minor shifts in wind direction or timing of any passing moisture could nudge the peak by 1–2°C. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these estimates ahead of the daily observation used for market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Moscow on August 5?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 5?
27°C 38%
26°C 23%
28°C 21%
25°C 17%
BARU
BARU
Aug 5, 2026
23°C or below
5%
24°C
5%
25°C
17%
26°C
23%
27°C
38%
28°C
21%
29°C
14%
30°C
4%
31°C
6%
32°C
6%
33°C or higher
2%
27°C 38%
26°C 23%
28°C 21%
25°C 17%
BARU
BARU
Aug 5, 2026
23°C or below
$0 Vol.
5%
24°C
$4 Vol.
5%
25°C
$41 Vol.
17%
26°C
$0 Vol.
23%
27°C
$19 Vol.
38%
28°C
$0 Vol.
21%
29°C
$1 Vol.
14%
30°C
$26 Vol.
4%
31°C
$21 Vol.
6%
32°C
$5 Vol.
6%
33°C or higher
$10 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from major models indicate Moscow highs of 27–29°C on August 5, aligning with the market's concentration of probability on those outcomes. A transient ridge of high pressure has promoted clearer skies and reduced cloud cover, supporting daytime warming above seasonal averages of roughly 23–25°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most runs clustering near 27°C as the most probable maximum, though minor shifts in wind direction or timing of any passing moisture could nudge the peak by 1–2°C. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these estimates ahead of the daily observation used for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$126Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from major models indicate Moscow highs of 27–29°C on August 5, aligning with the market's concentration of probability on those outcomes. A transient ridge of high pressure has promoted clearer skies and reduced cloud cover, supporting daytime warming above seasonal averages of roughly 23–25°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most runs clustering near 27°C as the most probable maximum, though minor shifts in wind direction or timing of any passing moisture could nudge the peak by 1–2°C. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these estimates ahead of the daily observation used for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$126Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from major models indicate Moscow highs of 27–29°C on August 5, aligning with the market's concentration of probability on those outcomes. A transient ridge of high pressure has promoted clearer skies and reduced cloud cover, supporting daytime warming above seasonal averages of roughly 23–25°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most runs clustering near 27°C as the most probable maximum, though minor shifts in wind direction or timing of any passing moisture could nudge the peak by 1–2°C. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these estimates ahead of the daily observation used for market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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