Latest National Weather Service guidance for Seattle on August 2 points to a daily high near 72°F under a strengthening marine layer, with morning clouds giving way to partial clearing and onshore southwest winds around 10-13 mph limiting daytime heating. This keeps consensus model output clustered in the low 70s, explaining the tight market split between the 70-71°F and 72-73°F outcomes. Typical early-August Pacific Northwest conditions—cooler sea-surface temperatures and frequent low-level stratus—reduce solar insolation and cap peaks well below seasonal averages near 79°F. Minor forecast adjustments from updated runs or shifts in cloud timing could still nudge the final observed high across the 70-73°F threshold.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Seattle on August 2?
70-71°F 38%
72-73°F 31%
68-69°F 21%
74-75°F 10%
63°F or below
1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
5%
68-69°F
21%
70-71°F
38%
72-73°F
31%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
1%
82°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 38%
72-73°F 31%
68-69°F 21%
74-75°F 10%
63°F or below
1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
5%
68-69°F
21%
70-71°F
38%
72-73°F
31%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
1%
82°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service guidance for Seattle on August 2 points to a daily high near 72°F under a strengthening marine layer, with morning clouds giving way to partial clearing and onshore southwest winds around 10-13 mph limiting daytime heating. This keeps consensus model output clustered in the low 70s, explaining the tight market split between the 70-71°F and 72-73°F outcomes. Typical early-August Pacific Northwest conditions—cooler sea-surface temperatures and frequent low-level stratus—reduce solar insolation and cap peaks well below seasonal averages near 79°F. Minor forecast adjustments from updated runs or shifts in cloud timing could still nudge the final observed high across the 70-73°F threshold.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui



Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan