Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for New York City points to a daily high in the low-to-mid 80s on August 5, 2026, with ensemble means clustered near 82–84 °F under partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity. This aligns with the market’s heaviest trading on the 82–83 °F bin (40 % implied probability) and adjacent 80–81 °F and 84–85 °F ranges. August climatology in Central Park shows an 83 °F average high, and the current setup lacks strong warm-air advection or subsidence that would push readings into the upper 80s. Traders are weighting the latest 12–48 h model runs most heavily, with only modest uncertainty from possible cloud-cover variations or a weak frontal passage that could trim the high by 1–2 °F.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in NYC on August 5?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 5?
82-83°F 41%
80-81°F 27%
84-85°F 24%
86-87°F 6%
BARU
$24,802 Vol.
BARU
$24,802 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
41%
84-85°F
24%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 41%
80-81°F 27%
84-85°F 24%
86-87°F 6%
BARU
$24,802 Vol.
BARU
$24,802 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
71°F or below
$9,261 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$265 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$654 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$1,421 Vol.
2%
78-79°F
$1,351 Vol.
4%
80-81°F
$1,611 Vol.
27%
82-83°F
$5,811 Vol.
41%
84-85°F
$1,725 Vol.
24%
86-87°F
$1,434 Vol.
6%
88-89°F
$695 Vol.
<1%
90°F or higher
$574 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for New York City points to a daily high in the low-to-mid 80s on August 5, 2026, with ensemble means clustered near 82–84 °F under partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity. This aligns with the market’s heaviest trading on the 82–83 °F bin (40 % implied probability) and adjacent 80–81 °F and 84–85 °F ranges. August climatology in Central Park shows an 83 °F average high, and the current setup lacks strong warm-air advection or subsidence that would push readings into the upper 80s. Traders are weighting the latest 12–48 h model runs most heavily, with only modest uncertainty from possible cloud-cover variations or a weak frontal passage that could trim the high by 1–2 °F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$24,802Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for New York City points to a daily high in the low-to-mid 80s on August 5, 2026, with ensemble means clustered near 82–84 °F under partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity. This aligns with the market’s heaviest trading on the 82–83 °F bin (40 % implied probability) and adjacent 80–81 °F and 84–85 °F ranges. August climatology in Central Park shows an 83 °F average high, and the current setup lacks strong warm-air advection or subsidence that would push readings into the upper 80s. Traders are weighting the latest 12–48 h model runs most heavily, with only modest uncertainty from possible cloud-cover variations or a weak frontal passage that could trim the high by 1–2 °F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$24,802Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for New York City points to a daily high in the low-to-mid 80s on August 5, 2026, with ensemble means clustered near 82–84 °F under partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity. This aligns with the market’s heaviest trading on the 82–83 °F bin (40 % implied probability) and adjacent 80–81 °F and 84–85 °F ranges. August climatology in Central Park shows an 83 °F average high, and the current setup lacks strong warm-air advection or subsidence that would push readings into the upper 80s. Traders are weighting the latest 12–48 h model runs most heavily, with only modest uncertainty from possible cloud-cover variations or a weak frontal passage that could trim the high by 1–2 °F.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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