Recent forecasts from sources including timeanddate and Weather25 indicate Moscow highs near 29–30°C on August 6, with lows around 19°C and light precipitation chances under variable cloud cover. These align with recent observations of 28–31°C earlier in the month and climatological norms for early August, where model ensembles show limited spread but sensitivity to minor shifts in steering flows or afternoon heating. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 29–30°C outcomes due to this narrow forecast range, with lower probabilities for 28°C or 31°C+ reflecting residual uncertainty in short-range guidance ahead of updated model runs from agencies like Roshydromet. Resolution depends on official daily maximum readings, where even 1–2°C variances from localized effects can alter the result.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Moscow on August 6?
29°C 38%
30°C 36%
28°C 20%
31°C 8%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
4%
28°C
20%
29°C
38%
30°C
36%
31°C
8%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
2%
29°C 38%
30°C 36%
28°C 20%
31°C 8%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
4%
28°C
20%
29°C
38%
30°C
36%
31°C
8%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including timeanddate and Weather25 indicate Moscow highs near 29–30°C on August 6, with lows around 19°C and light precipitation chances under variable cloud cover. These align with recent observations of 28–31°C earlier in the month and climatological norms for early August, where model ensembles show limited spread but sensitivity to minor shifts in steering flows or afternoon heating. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 29–30°C outcomes due to this narrow forecast range, with lower probabilities for 28°C or 31°C+ reflecting residual uncertainty in short-range guidance ahead of updated model runs from agencies like Roshydromet. Resolution depends on official daily maximum readings, where even 1–2°C variances from localized effects can alter the result.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui


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