**Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency project a minimum temperature of 24°C for Tokyo on August 6, 2026, aligning closely with the long-term daily normal of 23.9°C and typical early-August climatology.** Summer conditions in the region feature persistent high humidity, urban heat retention, and weak nighttime cooling, keeping overnight lows in a narrow 23–25°C band absent major synoptic shifts. Recent model consensus and observational trends show no significant deviations from this pattern, with daytime highs around 32–34°C reinforcing the expected diurnal range. Traders have converged on 24°C because this matches the authoritative forecast threshold most likely to be recorded at official stations. The primary risk of a different outcome stems from localized convective cooling during showers, a stronger-than-expected sea breeze, or minor station-to-station measurement differences, though current atmospheric stability makes these scenarios improbable before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 6?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 6?
24°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$13,693 Vol.
$13,693 Vol.
Aug 6, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$13,693 Vol.
$13,693 Vol.
Aug 6, 2026
20°C or below
$374 Vol.
No
21°C
$688 Vol.
No
22°C
$1,244 Vol.
No
23°C
$1,216 Vol.
No
24°C
$2,374 Vol.
Yes
25°C
$2,305 Vol.
No
26°C
$3,170 Vol.
No
27°C
$959 Vol.
No
28°C
$687 Vol.
No
29°C
$342 Vol.
No
30°C or higher
$334 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency project a minimum temperature of 24°C for Tokyo on August 6, 2026, aligning closely with the long-term daily normal of 23.9°C and typical early-August climatology.**
Summer conditions in the region feature persistent high humidity, urban heat retention, and weak nighttime cooling, keeping overnight lows in a narrow 23–25°C band absent major synoptic shifts. Recent model consensus and observational trends show no significant deviations from this pattern, with daytime highs around 32–34°C reinforcing the expected diurnal range.
Traders have converged on 24°C because this matches the authoritative forecast threshold most likely to be recorded at official stations.
The primary risk of a different outcome stems from localized convective cooling during showers, a stronger-than-expected sea breeze, or minor station-to-station measurement differences, though current atmospheric stability makes these scenarios improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$13,693Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency project a minimum temperature of 24°C for Tokyo on August 6, 2026, aligning closely with the long-term daily normal of 23.9°C and typical early-August climatology.**
Summer conditions in the region feature persistent high humidity, urban heat retention, and weak nighttime cooling, keeping overnight lows in a narrow 23–25°C band absent major synoptic shifts. Recent model consensus and observational trends show no significant deviations from this pattern, with daytime highs around 32–34°C reinforcing the expected diurnal range.
Traders have converged on 24°C because this matches the authoritative forecast threshold most likely to be recorded at official stations.
The primary risk of a different outcome stems from localized convective cooling during showers, a stronger-than-expected sea breeze, or minor station-to-station measurement differences, though current atmospheric stability makes these scenarios improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,693Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
**Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency project a minimum temperature of 24°C for Tokyo on August 6, 2026, aligning closely with the long-term daily normal of 23.9°C and typical early-August climatology.** Summer conditions in the region feature persistent high humidity, urban heat retention, and weak nighttime cooling, keeping overnight lows in a narrow 23–25°C band absent major synoptic shifts. Recent model consensus and observational trends show no significant deviations from this pattern, with daytime highs around 32–34°C reinforcing the expected diurnal range. Traders have converged on 24°C because this matches the authoritative forecast threshold most likely to be recorded at official stations. The primary risk of a different outcome stems from localized convective cooling during showers, a stronger-than-expected sea breeze, or minor station-to-station measurement differences, though current atmospheric stability makes these scenarios improbable before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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