Persistent heatwave conditions across South Korea, driven by a strong high-pressure system and clear skies with minimal precipitation expected, position 35°C and 36°C as the leading market outcomes for Incheon’s August 7 maximum temperature. Official Korea Meteorological Administration heatwave warnings cover Seoul and Incheon regions, with recent daily highs reaching 34°C on August 4 and model guidance indicating potential peaks near 37–38°C amid temperatures 5°C above seasonal norms. Trader consensus, reflected in the 36.5% and 25.5% implied probabilities for 35°C and 36°C respectively, aligns with ensemble forecasts showing limited cooling from light easterly winds and high humidity. Updated KMA briefings and numerical weather prediction runs through August 6 will refine these probabilities ahead of the daily maximum observation window.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 7?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 7?
35°C 37%
36°C 26%
34°C 17%
37°C 10.8%
BARU
BARU
Aug 7, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
5%
34°C
17%
35°C
37%
36°C
26%
37°C
11%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
1%
35°C 37%
36°C 26%
34°C 17%
37°C 10.8%
BARU
BARU
Aug 7, 2026
29°C or below
$469 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$470 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$130 Vol.
1%
32°C
$81 Vol.
2%
33°C
$112 Vol.
5%
34°C
$598 Vol.
17%
35°C
$70 Vol.
37%
36°C
$101 Vol.
26%
37°C
$75 Vol.
11%
38°C
$1 Vol.
1%
39°C or higher
$48 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heatwave conditions across South Korea, driven by a strong high-pressure system and clear skies with minimal precipitation expected, position 35°C and 36°C as the leading market outcomes for Incheon’s August 7 maximum temperature. Official Korea Meteorological Administration heatwave warnings cover Seoul and Incheon regions, with recent daily highs reaching 34°C on August 4 and model guidance indicating potential peaks near 37–38°C amid temperatures 5°C above seasonal norms. Trader consensus, reflected in the 36.5% and 25.5% implied probabilities for 35°C and 36°C respectively, aligns with ensemble forecasts showing limited cooling from light easterly winds and high humidity. Updated KMA briefings and numerical weather prediction runs through August 6 will refine these probabilities ahead of the daily maximum observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$2,154Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 7, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heatwave conditions across South Korea, driven by a strong high-pressure system and clear skies with minimal precipitation expected, position 35°C and 36°C as the leading market outcomes for Incheon’s August 7 maximum temperature. Official Korea Meteorological Administration heatwave warnings cover Seoul and Incheon regions, with recent daily highs reaching 34°C on August 4 and model guidance indicating potential peaks near 37–38°C amid temperatures 5°C above seasonal norms. Trader consensus, reflected in the 36.5% and 25.5% implied probabilities for 35°C and 36°C respectively, aligns with ensemble forecasts showing limited cooling from light easterly winds and high humidity. Updated KMA briefings and numerical weather prediction runs through August 6 will refine these probabilities ahead of the daily maximum observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,154Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 7, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent heatwave conditions across South Korea, driven by a strong high-pressure system and clear skies with minimal precipitation expected, position 35°C and 36°C as the leading market outcomes for Incheon’s August 7 maximum temperature. Official Korea Meteorological Administration heatwave warnings cover Seoul and Incheon regions, with recent daily highs reaching 34°C on August 4 and model guidance indicating potential peaks near 37–38°C amid temperatures 5°C above seasonal norms. Trader consensus, reflected in the 36.5% and 25.5% implied probabilities for 35°C and 36°C respectively, aligns with ensemble forecasts showing limited cooling from light easterly winds and high humidity. Updated KMA briefings and numerical weather prediction runs through August 6 will refine these probabilities ahead of the daily maximum observation window.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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