Ongoing extreme heatwave conditions across South Korea, including the first severe warnings for Seoul and Incheon, are the main driver behind trader consensus favoring a 34–36°C peak at the Incheon station on August 6. The Korea Meteorological Administration reports clear skies, strong subsidence, and elevated humidity suppressing overnight cooling, with recent model runs and short-range forecasts indicating daytime highs near 37–38°C (around 98–101°F) under continued high-pressure dominance. Urban heat island effects in the Seoul-Incheon corridor further support elevated readings compared to seasonal averages. Recent record highs exceeding 40°C elsewhere have heightened attention to potential intensification, though any shift in steering patterns or increased cloud cover could moderate outcomes before the market resolves.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 6?
35°C 40%
34°C 26%
36°C 23%
37°C or higher 9.0%
$26,832 Vol.
$26,832 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
5%
34°C
26%
35°C
40%
36°C
23%
37°C or higher
9%
35°C 40%
34°C 26%
36°C 23%
37°C or higher 9.0%
$26,832 Vol.
$26,832 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
5%
34°C
26%
35°C
40%
36°C
23%
37°C or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing extreme heatwave conditions across South Korea, including the first severe warnings for Seoul and Incheon, are the main driver behind trader consensus favoring a 34–36°C peak at the Incheon station on August 6. The Korea Meteorological Administration reports clear skies, strong subsidence, and elevated humidity suppressing overnight cooling, with recent model runs and short-range forecasts indicating daytime highs near 37–38°C (around 98–101°F) under continued high-pressure dominance. Urban heat island effects in the Seoul-Incheon corridor further support elevated readings compared to seasonal averages. Recent record highs exceeding 40°C elsewhere have heightened attention to potential intensification, though any shift in steering patterns or increased cloud cover could moderate outcomes before the market resolves.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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