Traders see a narrow edge for a 34°C high in Shenzhen on August 6 due to model consensus for mostly sunny skies under the western Pacific subtropical high, which favors strong solar insolation and daytime heating in the region’s subtropical monsoon climate. Recent patterns show suppressed typhoon activity and stable high pressure supporting temperatures near seasonal norms of 32–34°C, with differentiation between 33°C and 34°C hinging on variables such as afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer humidity, and weak steering winds that could limit mixing. Official forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate cluster around 33–34°C maxima with minimal precipitation expected, while any late-day sea-breeze or thin cirrus could cap readings at 33°C. The close market split reflects typical short-range model uncertainty in peak temperature under these conditions.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 6?
34°C 39%
33°C 35%
32°C 12%
35°C 10.2%
$59,754 Vol.
$59,754 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
12%
33°C
35%
34°C
39%
35°C
10%
36°C
4%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 39%
33°C 35%
32°C 12%
35°C 10.2%
$59,754 Vol.
$59,754 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
12%
33°C
35%
34°C
39%
35°C
10%
36°C
4%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see a narrow edge for a 34°C high in Shenzhen on August 6 due to model consensus for mostly sunny skies under the western Pacific subtropical high, which favors strong solar insolation and daytime heating in the region’s subtropical monsoon climate. Recent patterns show suppressed typhoon activity and stable high pressure supporting temperatures near seasonal norms of 32–34°C, with differentiation between 33°C and 34°C hinging on variables such as afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer humidity, and weak steering winds that could limit mixing. Official forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate cluster around 33–34°C maxima with minimal precipitation expected, while any late-day sea-breeze or thin cirrus could cap readings at 33°C. The close market split reflects typical short-range model uncertainty in peak temperature under these conditions.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui


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