Recent numerical weather model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and regional forecasts points to a daily maximum near 33°C for Shanghai on August 6 under the influence of the East Asian monsoon and a subtropical high-pressure ridge, with light winds, elevated humidity, and possible scattered showers limiting further warming. Historical late-summer climatology for the region shows typical highs of 31–34°C, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 33°C (45.5%) and 34°C (30.5%) outcomes. Updated short-range model runs and China Meteorological Administration station data remain the primary catalysts, keeping lower probabilities on extremes above 35°C or below 32°C while reflecting modest uncertainty from potential convective activity or slight steering variations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 6?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 6?
33°C 46%
34°C 31%
32°C 13%
35°C 6%
BARU
$14,975 Vol.
BARU
$14,975 Vol.
Aug 6, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
13%
33°C
46%
34°C
31%
35°C
6%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 46%
34°C 31%
32°C 13%
35°C 6%
BARU
$14,975 Vol.
BARU
$14,975 Vol.
Aug 6, 2026
27°C or below
$253 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$470 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$787 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,004 Vol.
1%
31°C
$1,513 Vol.
4%
32°C
$2,898 Vol.
13%
33°C
$1,592 Vol.
46%
34°C
$3,222 Vol.
31%
35°C
$2,019 Vol.
6%
36°C
$921 Vol.
1%
37°C or higher
$650 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and regional forecasts points to a daily maximum near 33°C for Shanghai on August 6 under the influence of the East Asian monsoon and a subtropical high-pressure ridge, with light winds, elevated humidity, and possible scattered showers limiting further warming. Historical late-summer climatology for the region shows typical highs of 31–34°C, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 33°C (45.5%) and 34°C (30.5%) outcomes. Updated short-range model runs and China Meteorological Administration station data remain the primary catalysts, keeping lower probabilities on extremes above 35°C or below 32°C while reflecting modest uncertainty from potential convective activity or slight steering variations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$14,975Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and regional forecasts points to a daily maximum near 33°C for Shanghai on August 6 under the influence of the East Asian monsoon and a subtropical high-pressure ridge, with light winds, elevated humidity, and possible scattered showers limiting further warming. Historical late-summer climatology for the region shows typical highs of 31–34°C, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 33°C (45.5%) and 34°C (30.5%) outcomes. Updated short-range model runs and China Meteorological Administration station data remain the primary catalysts, keeping lower probabilities on extremes above 35°C or below 32°C while reflecting modest uncertainty from potential convective activity or slight steering variations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,975Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and regional forecasts points to a daily maximum near 33°C for Shanghai on August 6 under the influence of the East Asian monsoon and a subtropical high-pressure ridge, with light winds, elevated humidity, and possible scattered showers limiting further warming. Historical late-summer climatology for the region shows typical highs of 31–34°C, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 33°C (45.5%) and 34°C (30.5%) outcomes. Updated short-range model runs and China Meteorological Administration station data remain the primary catalysts, keeping lower probabilities on extremes above 35°C or below 32°C while reflecting modest uncertainty from potential convective activity or slight steering variations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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