Recent model consensus from the National Weather Service and ensemble runs points to a moderating marine layer and persistent onshore flow along the Southern California coast, limiting daytime heating and positioning the daily high near 75–77°F for downtown Los Angeles on August 4. Stronger-than-normal sea breezes and potential low stratus clouds are expected to cap insolation during peak afternoon hours, keeping readings below the climatological August average of 84°F. Trader sentiment has tightened around the 74–79°F range following the latest short-range guidance that shows minimal warming despite broader regional heat signals, with only modest upside risk if the marine influence weakens. Updated forecast discussions and next model cycles from the NWS Los Angeles/Oxnard office will be the key near-term catalysts for any shift in implied probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 4?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 4?
76-77°F 47%
74-75°F 34%
78-79°F 19%
72-73°F 4%
BARU
BARU
Aug 4, 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
34%
76-77°F
47%
78-79°F
19%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 47%
74-75°F 34%
78-79°F 19%
72-73°F 4%
BARU
BARU
Aug 4, 2026
69°F or below
$440 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$1,187 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$714 Vol.
4%
74-75°F
$727 Vol.
34%
76-77°F
$1,500 Vol.
47%
78-79°F
$578 Vol.
19%
80-81°F
$864 Vol.
2%
82-83°F
$332 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$383 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$217 Vol.
<1%
88°F or higher
$217 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from the National Weather Service and ensemble runs points to a moderating marine layer and persistent onshore flow along the Southern California coast, limiting daytime heating and positioning the daily high near 75–77°F for downtown Los Angeles on August 4. Stronger-than-normal sea breezes and potential low stratus clouds are expected to cap insolation during peak afternoon hours, keeping readings below the climatological August average of 84°F. Trader sentiment has tightened around the 74–79°F range following the latest short-range guidance that shows minimal warming despite broader regional heat signals, with only modest upside risk if the marine influence weakens. Updated forecast discussions and next model cycles from the NWS Los Angeles/Oxnard office will be the key near-term catalysts for any shift in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Volume
$7,160Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from the National Weather Service and ensemble runs points to a moderating marine layer and persistent onshore flow along the Southern California coast, limiting daytime heating and positioning the daily high near 75–77°F for downtown Los Angeles on August 4. Stronger-than-normal sea breezes and potential low stratus clouds are expected to cap insolation during peak afternoon hours, keeping readings below the climatological August average of 84°F. Trader sentiment has tightened around the 74–79°F range following the latest short-range guidance that shows minimal warming despite broader regional heat signals, with only modest upside risk if the marine influence weakens. Updated forecast discussions and next model cycles from the NWS Los Angeles/Oxnard office will be the key near-term catalysts for any shift in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,160Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from the National Weather Service and ensemble runs points to a moderating marine layer and persistent onshore flow along the Southern California coast, limiting daytime heating and positioning the daily high near 75–77°F for downtown Los Angeles on August 4. Stronger-than-normal sea breezes and potential low stratus clouds are expected to cap insolation during peak afternoon hours, keeping readings below the climatological August average of 84°F. Trader sentiment has tightened around the 74–79°F range following the latest short-range guidance that shows minimal warming despite broader regional heat signals, with only modest upside risk if the marine influence weakens. Updated forecast discussions and next model cycles from the NWS Los Angeles/Oxnard office will be the key near-term catalysts for any shift in implied probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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