**Recent official forecasts position 32–34°C as the leading range for Hong Kong’s maximum temperature on August 6, 2026.** The Hong Kong Observatory projects a 27–32°C range, while several extended models show potential afternoon peaks near 33–34°C amid clear to partly cloudy skies. Typical August subtropical conditions—high solar insolation, elevated sea-surface temperatures near 29°C, and urban heat-island effects—support these values, with normal-to-above-normal seasonal temperatures expected. Recent clearing after heavy rain and the influence of Super Typhoon Dolphin have favored sunnier, hotter days this week, pushing trader consensus toward 33°C (45.5% implied probability) over cooler or hotter extremes. Updated model runs and the next HKO bulletin will likely refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 6?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 6?
33°C 46%
32°C 27%
34°C 24%
35°C 3%
BARU
$73,450 Vol.
BARU
$73,450 Vol.
Aug 6, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
27%
33°C
46%
34°C
24%
35°C
3%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 46%
32°C 27%
34°C 24%
35°C 3%
BARU
$73,450 Vol.
BARU
$73,450 Vol.
Aug 6, 2026
27°C or below
$7,471 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,869 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$3,164 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$6,874 Vol.
1%
31°C
$9,523 Vol.
2%
32°C
$15,178 Vol.
27%
33°C
$11,857 Vol.
46%
34°C
$6,040 Vol.
24%
35°C
$6,081 Vol.
3%
36°C
$2,906 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$2,487 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Recent official forecasts position 32–34°C as the leading range for Hong Kong’s maximum temperature on August 6, 2026.** The Hong Kong Observatory projects a 27–32°C range, while several extended models show potential afternoon peaks near 33–34°C amid clear to partly cloudy skies. Typical August subtropical conditions—high solar insolation, elevated sea-surface temperatures near 29°C, and urban heat-island effects—support these values, with normal-to-above-normal seasonal temperatures expected. Recent clearing after heavy rain and the influence of Super Typhoon Dolphin have favored sunnier, hotter days this week, pushing trader consensus toward 33°C (45.5% implied probability) over cooler or hotter extremes. Updated model runs and the next HKO bulletin will likely refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$73,450Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Recent official forecasts position 32–34°C as the leading range for Hong Kong’s maximum temperature on August 6, 2026.** The Hong Kong Observatory projects a 27–32°C range, while several extended models show potential afternoon peaks near 33–34°C amid clear to partly cloudy skies. Typical August subtropical conditions—high solar insolation, elevated sea-surface temperatures near 29°C, and urban heat-island effects—support these values, with normal-to-above-normal seasonal temperatures expected. Recent clearing after heavy rain and the influence of Super Typhoon Dolphin have favored sunnier, hotter days this week, pushing trader consensus toward 33°C (45.5% implied probability) over cooler or hotter extremes. Updated model runs and the next HKO bulletin will likely refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$73,450Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent official forecasts position 32–34°C as the leading range for Hong Kong’s maximum temperature on August 6, 2026.** The Hong Kong Observatory projects a 27–32°C range, while several extended models show potential afternoon peaks near 33–34°C amid clear to partly cloudy skies. Typical August subtropical conditions—high solar insolation, elevated sea-surface temperatures near 29°C, and urban heat-island effects—support these values, with normal-to-above-normal seasonal temperatures expected. Recent clearing after heavy rain and the influence of Super Typhoon Dolphin have favored sunnier, hotter days this week, pushing trader consensus toward 33°C (45.5% implied probability) over cooler or hotter extremes. Updated model runs and the next HKO bulletin will likely refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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