Traders price Shanghai's August 7 overnight low near 27–29 °C because climatological baselines and near-term model guidance both point to typical midsummer subtropical conditions. In Shanghai’s humid subtropical regime, nighttime minima usually stabilize between 25–26 °C under weak pressure gradients and abundant moisture that limits radiational cooling; urban heat-island effects further elevate readings. Recent extended-range forecasts from AccuWeather and regional guidance show no strong cold fronts or typhoon influences through early August, keeping surface winds light and cloud cover moderate. With resolution only two days away, the next 48-hour model cycles from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF will be the decisive inputs, likely reinforcing the current 28 °C plurality unless an unexpected marine layer strengthens.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 7?
28°C 36%
29°C 34%
27°C 19%
25°C 8%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
8%
26°C
3%
27°C
19%
28°C
50%
29°C
34%
30°C
1%
31°C
8%
32°C
5%
33°C or higher
1%
28°C 36%
29°C 34%
27°C 19%
25°C 8%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
8%
26°C
3%
27°C
19%
28°C
50%
29°C
34%
30°C
1%
31°C
8%
32°C
5%
33°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders price Shanghai's August 7 overnight low near 27–29 °C because climatological baselines and near-term model guidance both point to typical midsummer subtropical conditions. In Shanghai’s humid subtropical regime, nighttime minima usually stabilize between 25–26 °C under weak pressure gradients and abundant moisture that limits radiational cooling; urban heat-island effects further elevate readings. Recent extended-range forecasts from AccuWeather and regional guidance show no strong cold fronts or typhoon influences through early August, keeping surface winds light and cloud cover moderate. With resolution only two days away, the next 48-hour model cycles from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF will be the decisive inputs, likely reinforcing the current 28 °C plurality unless an unexpected marine layer strengthens.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan