National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models currently anchor trader sentiment around an 86–89°F peak for Seattle on August 5, with a heat advisory in effect reflecting strong upper-level ridging and reduced marine-layer influence. Onshore flow and patchy smoke from regional wildfires introduce modest cooling uncertainty, keeping 84–85°F probabilities alive while limiting upside beyond 90°F. Historical early-August averages near 79°F underscore the anomalous warmth, though short-term guidance shows limited further intensification before diurnal cooling sets in. Official resolution hinges on Sea-Tac Airport observations, with any late-day model updates likely to refine the tight 86–89°F spread.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Seattle on August 5?
86-87°F 39%
88-89°F 29%
84-85°F 18%
82-83°F 8.3%
$34,956 Vol.
$34,956 Vol.
79°F or below
2%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
8%
84-85°F
18%
86-87°F
39%
88-89°F
29%
90-91°F
8%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 39%
88-89°F 29%
84-85°F 18%
82-83°F 8.3%
$34,956 Vol.
$34,956 Vol.
79°F or below
2%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
8%
84-85°F
18%
86-87°F
39%
88-89°F
29%
90-91°F
8%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models currently anchor trader sentiment around an 86–89°F peak for Seattle on August 5, with a heat advisory in effect reflecting strong upper-level ridging and reduced marine-layer influence. Onshore flow and patchy smoke from regional wildfires introduce modest cooling uncertainty, keeping 84–85°F probabilities alive while limiting upside beyond 90°F. Historical early-August averages near 79°F underscore the anomalous warmth, though short-term guidance shows limited further intensification before diurnal cooling sets in. Official resolution hinges on Sea-Tac Airport observations, with any late-day model updates likely to refine the tight 86–89°F spread.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui



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