**Recent forecast updates point to a cooler-than-average day in Buenos Aires on August 6, 2026, driven by an approaching cold front that is expected to lower maximum temperatures into the low-to-mid teens Celsius.** Official guidance from sources like timeanddate and Argentine meteorological reports indicate a high near 15°C under overcast skies with possible thunderstorms, while climatological norms for early August hover around 15–17°C. This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 13–14°C outcomes, as traders incorporate the latest model consensus showing reduced solar heating, southerly wind shifts, and limited warm-air advection typical of Southern Hemisphere winter patterns. The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional baseline and recent model runs reinforce this positioning, with any lingering warm northerly flow from prior days giving way to stabilizing cooler conditions. Upcoming short-term forecast revisions or real-time observations on the morning of August 6 could still adjust the exact peak by 1°C depending on cloud persistence or precipitation timing, but current data keep the 13–14°C range as the dominant cluster.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 6?
14°C 55%
13°C 24%
15°C 14%
12°C 4%
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
4%
13°C
24%
14°C
55%
15°C
14%
16°C
3%
17°C
2%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 55%
13°C 24%
15°C 14%
12°C 4%
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
4%
13°C
24%
14°C
55%
15°C
14%
16°C
3%
17°C
2%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecast updates point to a cooler-than-average day in Buenos Aires on August 6, 2026, driven by an approaching cold front that is expected to lower maximum temperatures into the low-to-mid teens Celsius.** Official guidance from sources like timeanddate and Argentine meteorological reports indicate a high near 15°C under overcast skies with possible thunderstorms, while climatological norms for early August hover around 15–17°C. This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 13–14°C outcomes, as traders incorporate the latest model consensus showing reduced solar heating, southerly wind shifts, and limited warm-air advection typical of Southern Hemisphere winter patterns. The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional baseline and recent model runs reinforce this positioning, with any lingering warm northerly flow from prior days giving way to stabilizing cooler conditions. Upcoming short-term forecast revisions or real-time observations on the morning of August 6 could still adjust the exact peak by 1°C depending on cloud persistence or precipitation timing, but current data keep the 13–14°C range as the dominant cluster.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui


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